Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.78% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%) , while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.01%).