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Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Metz logo

Lens
2 - 2
Metz

Clauss (13'), Cahuzac (36')
Gradit (8'), Haidara (19'), Medina (37'), Fofana (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goncalves (27' pen.), Delaine (57')
Goncalves (37'), Boye (50'), Sarr (82')

Preview: Lens vs. Metz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Lens take on Metz in Ligue 1 on Sunday, with the two sides separated by three points in the top half of the table.

Metz can overtake their forthcoming opponents into fifth place with a victory, but it will not be easy against a side on a seven-match unbeaten run.


Match preview

Lens celebrate scoring against Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on September 10, 2020© Reuters

Franck Haise's side are performing well above expectations in their first campaign back in Ligue 1, with a Europa League qualification spot firmly within their sights.

Lens have scored seven goals and taken seven points from their last three league games, with Florian Sotoca, Arnaud Kalimuendo and David Costa all on target in a highly entertaining 3-2 win at Saint-Etienne.

However, they were embarrassed by third-tier outfit Red Star Paris in the Coupe de France last weekend, with two late goals sealing arguably the biggest upset of the round-of-32.

Haise will be demanding his players bounce back to continue their superb league form in hope that the surprise defeat was merely a blip in what is otherwise all set up to be an excellent campaign.

Metz goalkeeper Alexandre Oukidja pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Like their forthcoming opponents, Metz have performed above expectations this season, too, regularly occupying a top-half position as they look to qualify for European football for the first time since 1999.

After losing top goalscorer Ibrahima Niane to a serious knee injury in the early stages of the campaign, Frederic Antonetti has worked wonders to keep his side competitive, building from the back as only the top three sides in the division currently boast a stronger defensive record this season.

At times this fairly rigid approach to games can work against them, though, as was evident in their recent 1-0 defeat at home to Angers. Metz could not find a meaningful response to Angelo Fulgini's 44th-minute penalty, with goalkeeper Alexandre Oukidja sent off in injury time to add to their frustrations on the day.

Antonetti will be hoping that his side can put the defeat behind them against Lens in order to produce a similar performance to the one which saw them win the reverse fixture 2-0 and move above Haise's side in the table. Last weekend's 4-0 win at Valenciennes in the Coupe de France should certainly have boosted confidence within their ranks.

Lens Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Lens form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Metz Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Metz form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Lens head coach Franck Haise pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Lens could be without Gael Kakuta, Issiaga Sylla and Ignatius Ganago due to injury against Metz.

Should Kakuta be out of action, Sotoca and Kalimuendo may have to provide more of their own attacking impetus, as was the case when both were on the scoresheet at Saint-Etienne.

Metz, meanwhile, will travel to Lens without Oukidja, Boubakar Kouyate and Fabien Centonze due to suspension, with Marc-Aurele Caillard deputising in goal.

To add further to Antonetti's woes, Niane, Warren Tchimbembe, Ernest Boahene, Opa Nguette, Kevin N'Doram and Manuel Cabit are all likely to be unavailable, too, due to injury.

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Gradit, Bade, Medina; Clauss, Cahuzac, Fofana, Haidara; Mauricio; Kalimuendo, Sotoca

Metz possible starting lineup:
Caillard; Bronn, Fofana, Boye; Delaine, Pajot, Sarr, Udol; Boulaya; Gueye, Iseka


SM words green background

We say: Lens 2-1 Metz

Metz appear to be missing more first-team players, so we can see Lens extending their unbeaten run on Sunday.

A win would put Haise's side in a very strong position in terms of finishing as the 'best of the rest' behind the runaway top four sides in the division, so expect them to attack from the outset.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Lens vs Metz

Lens
76.3%
Draw
18.4%
Metz
5.3%
38
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1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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