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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Mar 30, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
2 - 2
Cruz Azul

Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (57'), Barbieri (85')
Mendoza (16'), Escamilla (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Escoboza (42'), Lotti (89')
de Jesus Corona (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Cruz Azul, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Juarez
Monday, March 20 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 18 at 11pm in Liga MX

We said: Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul seem to have gained some momentum from their string of home victories, as well as tightening up defensively, and given that they are facing the lowest-scoring team in the league, we do not anticipate them to be challenged much against the Queretaro attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
QueretaroDrawCruz Azul
37.29% (1.044 1.04) 26.75% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 35.96% (-1.087 -1.09)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)53.35% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.151 -0.15)74.89% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.53099999999999 0.53)27.69% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.67599999999999 0.68)63.24% (-0.677 -0.68)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.733 -0.73)28.48% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)64.25% (0.928 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 37.29%
    Cruz Azul 35.96%
    Draw 26.74%
QueretaroDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.215 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.29%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.96%

How you voted: Queretaro vs Cruz Azul

Queretaro
17.4%
Draw
8.7%
Cruz Azul
73.9%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 11pm
Cruz Azul
2-1
Queretaro
Rotondi (33'), Tabo (83')
Estrada (26'), Carneiro (54'), Rotondi (60'), (81'), (90')
Morales (56')
Aboagye (78')
Sequeira (31'), Aguerre (90+3')
Apr 22, 2022 3am
Queretaro
0-1
Cruz Azul
Aguilar (74')
Tabo (58')
Sep 20, 2021 1am
Cruz Azul
2-0
Queretaro
Angulo (42'), Martinez (90+1' pen.)
Martinez (88')
Jan 31, 2021 3am
Cruz Azul
4-1
Queretaro
Aldrete (23'), Pineda (37'), Rodriguez (45'), Hernandez (74')
Sepulveda (42')
Ramirez (68'), Pablo Meza (76')
Aug 12, 2020 11pm
Queretaro
1-0
Cruz Azul
Ramirez (29')
Vera (83')

Aldrete (37'), Rodriguez (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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