Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.