Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.