Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.62% and a win for Nice had a probability of 15.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.