Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Tadjidine Mmadi 62' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 63' yellowcard
  • Tadjidine Mmadi 63' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 66' goal
  • Nouhoum Kamissoko 80' yellowcard
  • Himad Abdelli 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sofiane Diop 46'
  • yellowcard Kaïl Boudache 67'
  • yellowcard Kevin Carlos 81'
  • yellowcard Melvin Bard  81'
  • yellowcard Ali Abdi 81'
  • yellowcard Elye Wahi 88'
  • yellowcard Charles Vanhoutte 90'+1'

Marseille vs Nice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 4.00pm
Lorient 2 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 8.05pm
Lille 0 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.62% and a win for Nice had a probability of 15.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 62.84% (-0.04)
Draw 21.62%
Nice 15.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.06% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.68% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.32% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.16% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.81% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.56% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 79.44% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Marseille 47.92%
Draw 36.82%
Nice 15.26%

Team To Score First

Marseille 65.61% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.5% (-0.01)
Nice 27.89%

Corners

Over 8 56.39%
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 31.78%
Over 9 44.45%
Equal 9 11.94%
Under 9 43.61%
Over 10.5 33.43%
Under 10.5 66.57%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 57.62% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 42.38% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 31.11% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 68.89% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.05% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 85.95% (-0.02)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5 49.24% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 50.76% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 19.22% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 80.78% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.82%
Under 2.5 94.18%
Over 3.5 1.51%
Under 3.5 98.49%

Score analysis

Marseille 62.85%
Draw 21.62%
Nice 15.51%
Marseille
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 6.03% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 13.83% (+0.02)
Total : 62.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.56%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.62%
Nice
0-1 @ 4.67%
1-2 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34%
1-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 15.51%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 21, 2025 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Evann Guessand 7' goal
  • Mohamed-Ali Cho 51' goal
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darryl Bakola 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Lilian Brassier 19' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 40' goal
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Valentin Rongier 64' yellowcard
  • Derek Cornelius 75' redcard
  • Ali Abdi 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dante 13'
  • yellowcard Franck Haise 55'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 63'
  • yellowcard Jon Rowe 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Faris Moumbagna 22' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 31' goal
  • Faris Moumbagna 45'+2' redcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 56' goal
  • yellowcard Terem Moffi 11'
  • goal Terem Moffi 13'
  • yellowcard Mohamed-Ali Cho 54'
  • yellowcard Morgan Sanson 61'
  • goal Melvin Bard 72'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Dante 16' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Boga 24' yellowcard
  • Hicham Boudaoui 56' yellowcard
  • Evann Guessand 79' goal
  • Terem Moffi 79' yellowcard
  • Evann Guessand 80' goal
  • goal 25'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 75'
  • redcard Leonardo Balerdi 78'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 60' goal
  • goal Sofiane Diop 38'
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 44'
  • goal Bilal Brahimi 85'