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Bordeaux
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Chaban Delmas
Lille

Bordeaux
2 - 3
Lille

Elis (18', 45')
Fransergio (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Andre (33'), Yilmaz (77' pen.), David (84')
Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (37'), Djalo (88')

Preview: Bordeaux vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Bordeaux and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ligue 1 champions Lille will be looking to extend their unbeaten run across all competitions to 11 matches when they travel to Bordeaux on Wednesday night.

The hosts, meanwhile, are hoping to claim back-to-back league wins for the first time since May and steer themselves clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Bordeaux's M'Baye Niang celebrates scoring their second goal against Paris Saint-Germain on November 6, 2021© Reuters

Bordeaux recorded the biggest victory in their 140-year history when they demolished Mayotte-based outfit Les Jumeaux M'Zouasia 10-0 in the third round of the Coupe de France last weekend.

Four goals from M'Baye Niang as well as strikes from Timothee Pembele (2), Abdel Medioub, Javairo Dilrosun, Issouf Sissokho and Josh Maja helped the hosts cruise into the round of 32 for just the second time in five years.

Head coach Vladimir Petkovic was pleased to see his side secure successive victories for the first time this campaign, albeit against one of the weakest teams remaining in the competition.

Bordeaux now turn their attention to Ligue 1 where they have struggled throughout this season, winning only three of their 18 league games – only basement club Saint-Etienne have won fewer matches.

The Girondins also head into Wednesday's fixture after losing each of their last four meetings against Lille, though they have won five of their last seven home games against them.

Victory against Lille in midweek would be their first against the reigning champions of Ligue 1 since March 2015, and could move them five points clear of the relegation zone.

Lille's Jonathan David celebrates scoring their first goal with Zeki Celik on October 23, 2021© Reuters

For the sixth successive season, Lille have advanced into the fourth round of the Coupe de France after they beat Ligue 2 outfit Auxerre 3-1 on home soil last weekend.

Three first-half goals from Angel Gomes, Jonathan David and Zeki Celik put the hosts firmly in control, and despite the visitors pulling one back three minutes after the break through Remy Dugimont, Les Dogues held on for the victory.

Jocelyn Gourvennec's side have now extended their unbeaten run across all competitions to 10 matches, including six league games without defeat.

The Ligue 1 champions are still a staggering 20 points behind league leaders Paris Saint-Germain, but there are only seven points separating Les Dogues in 11th place from second-placed Marseille, who they will face in just under a month's time.

Lille have only won two of their last 14 matches away against Bordeaux across all competitions, though that does include last season's 3-0 victory in February.

Les Dogues, who have only won a third of their 18 league games this term, could climb as high as fifth in the table if they were to secure all three points in midweek.

Bordeaux Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Bordeaux form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Lille Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Lille form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W


Team News

Lille's Renato Sanches in action with Sevilla's Marcos Acuna, October 20, 2021© Reuters

Bordeaux's only injury concern is with experienced defender Paul Baysse, who is still recovering from a cruciate ligament rupture and is set to remain sidelined until next month.

Niang is yet to start for the Girondins in the league this season, but after netting four goals at the weekend, he will be hoping to force his way into the first XI ahead of Alberth Elis.

Creative midfielder Yacine Adli is set to operate in the number 10 role, in front of centre-midfield duo Otavio and Jean Onana, who were both rested at the weekend.

As for Lille, forward Timothy Weah and back-up goalkeeper Leo Jardim are suffering with respective muscle and neck injuries and are unlikely to feature until the beginning of 2022.

Gourvennec surprisingly named a strong side for their cup victory at the weekend, with the majority of his first XI expected to start again on Wednesday.

David, Burak Yilmaz, Renato Sanches and Jonathan Ikone, who were all substituted in the second half against Auxerre, could start again, while Reinildo is in contention to play at left-back ahead of Tiago Djalo, after serving a one-match suspension.

Bordeaux possible starting lineup:
Costil; Mexer, Koscielny, Gregersen; Kwateng, Otavio, Onana, Mensah; Adli; Niang, Hwang

Lille possible starting lineup:
Grbic; Celik, Fonte, Botman, Reinildo; Ikone, Andre, Sanches, Bamba; David, Yilmaz


SM words green background

We say: Bordeaux 1-2 Lille

Earlier this season, Bordeaux may have fancied their chances of beating a struggling Lille outfit, but with Les Dogues now enjoying a stronger run of form across all competitions, Wednesday's hosts are set to face a much tougher challenge.

Lille might not secure another comfortable three-goal victory as they did last season, but they should have enough quality in their side to come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:473450:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11594:
Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bordeaux vs Lille

Bordeaux
15.1%
Draw
19.2%
Lille
65.8%
73
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG13103037112633
2Marseille1382329171226
3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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