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[monks data]
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
DC United

Los Angeles
1 - 0
DC United

Opoku (67')
Escobar (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hopkins (28'), Najar (43'), Morrison (44'), Birnbaum (49'), Ochoa (59')

Preview: Los Angeles FC vs. DC United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Los Angeles FC will be bidding to make it seven MLS victories in a row when they continue their campaign at home to struggling DC United on Tuesday night.

The home side are currently top of the Western Conference, boasting 54 points from their 24 league matches this term, while DC sit bottom of the Eastern Conference, claiming just 22 points from 24 fixtures.


Match preview

Gareth Bale in action for Los Angeles FC on August 6, 2022© Reuters

Los Angeles FC continued their brilliant run of form with a 5-0 victory over Charlotte FC on Saturday evening, which made it six straight MLS victories for the club.

Steven Cherundolo's team have actually now won eight of their last nine in the league, which has left them top of the Western Conference, boasting a record of 17 wins, three draws and four defeats from 24 matches to collect 54 points, six more than second-placed Austin.

LAFC, who were only founded in 2014, have finished seventh and ninth in their last two Western Conference campaigns, but they were first in their conference and also overall back in 2019.

The additions of Gareth Bale and Giorgio Chiellini have boosted an already-strong squad, while the club also have experienced Mexican striker Carlos Vela in their ranks.

Cherundolo's side will fancy their chances of overcoming a struggling DC United on Tuesday evening, while a busy end to the month will also see them face San Jose Earthquakes, Austin and Houston Dynamo.

DC United manager Wayne Rooney on August 13, 2022© Reuters

DC United, meanwhile, will enter this contest off the back of a 1-0 defeat to New England Revolution on Saturday evening, with Carles Gil scoring the only goal of the contest at Gillette Stadium.

Wayne Rooney's side have only won one of their last eight in the league, which has left them bottom of the Eastern Conference on 22 points, boasting a record of six wins, four draws and 14 defeats from 24 matches.

The Black and Reds finished eighth in the Eastern Conference last season, but they are 11 points off that position at this stage and are also now seven behind the team directly above them, Atlanta United.

Rooney's team would not have wanted to enter a clash with LAFC off the back of another defeat, especially with the hosts scoring 53 league goals during an impressive campaign thus far.

DC United have the worst defensive record in the Eastern Conference with 48 conceded, meanwhile, and they will surely need to put in one of their best performances of the season to stand a chance of picking up a positive result here.

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Los Angeles FC form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

DC United Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

DC United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L


Team News

Gareth Bale in action for Los Angeles FC on July 29, 2022© Reuters

Neither Bale nor Chiellini were involved against Charlotte on Saturday due to fitness problems, but the pair are expected to be back in the squad for this contest, with the latter likely to be in the first XI.

Bale's involvement is expected to come from the bench, with the 33-year-old yet to start in the MLS this term, but he has contributed two goals against Kansas City and Real Salt Lake.

The home side are again likely to be without Danny Musovski, Julian Gaines and Erik Duenas through injury, so the XI is expected to be similar to the one that started against Charlotte, with Vela again joining Cristian Arango and Brian Rodriguez in the final third of the field.

As for DC United, a lengthy injury list includes Brad Smith, Bill Hamid, Hayden Sargis, Jacob Greene and Adrien Perez, with all five players likely to be out for the rest of the month.

Head coach Rooney would have been pleased with aspects of his team's performance against New England on Saturday, so there are not expected to be wholesale changes for this match.

Kimarni Smith is expected to be brought into the side, though, while there could also be a position at the tip of the attack for Taxiarchis Fountas.

Former Man United youngster Ravel Morrison should also retain his spot in midfield.

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Crepeau; Hollingshead, Murillo, Chiellini, Palacios; Cifuentes, Ilie, Acosta; Vela, Arango, Rodriguez

DC United possible starting lineup:
Romo; Najar, Birnbaum, Alfaro, Smith; Durkin, Palsson, Morrison; Berry, Fountas, Rodriguez


SM words green background

We say: Los Angeles FC 3-1 DC United

This is a very tough match for DC United, and we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the visitors. Los Angeles FC are flying at the moment and are full of goals, so we are expecting it to be a relatively comfortable home success for the team at the top of the Western Conference.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Los Angeles vs DC United

Los Angeles FC
88.9%
Draw
7.9%
DC United
3.2%
63
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Gareth Bale in action for Los Angeles FC on August 3, 2022
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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