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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Middlesbrough logo

Luton
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Middlesbrough - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Luton Town and Middlesbrough square off at Kenilworth Road on Tuesday evening with both clubs having seen their unbeaten Championship streaks come to an end on Saturday.

At a time when the Hatters went down 2-0 at Preston North End, Boro lost by the same scoreline at home to Birmingham City.


Match preview

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones reacts on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Having put together a five-match undefeated record in the second tier, Luton boss Nathan Jones will be frustrated with how his side fared at Deepdale.

The Welshman spoke openly about his disappointment on Saturday night, feeling that his squad had been given a wake-up call in their bid to remain in contention for promotion.

Nevertheless, Luton have already proven this season that they can bounce back with immediate effect, and home fixtures against Middlesbrough and Stoke City feel ideal ahead of the next international break.

That said, they need to show more ruthlessness at their home ground with just three wins coming from their seven outings on familiar territory.

Middlesbrough manager Neil Warnock on September 11, 2021© Reuters

On the flip side, Luton face opponents in Middlesbrough who have only scored five times during the same amount of fixtures on the road.

Neil Warnock would have been unconcerned by his side still failing to net more than twice in a game this season had they made it four successive wins against Birmingham.

However, their issues in front of goal led to another disappointing reverse, a result which has left the North-East outfit down in 11th position.

With just six points separating fifth and 19th place, the margins for error are small, and Warnock will recognise that his team need to respond against opponents who have collected the same amount of points.

Given that Boro have only posted back-to-back defeats on one occasion this season, the veteran boss will be optimistic that they can remain contenders for the top six.

Luton Town Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Middlesbrough Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Luton Town's Fred Onyedinma celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Jones will consider making several changes to his Luton XI with Fred Onyedinma among those in contention for a recall.

Admiral Muskwe could be used down the middle of the attack, providing that Elijah Adebayo does not recover from the hamstring problem which kept him out at the weekend.

Luke Berry is likely to miss out again having sustained a knee injury last week.

Martin Payero and Uche Ikpeazu will both be assessed having picked up issues against Birmingham on Saturday.

James Lea Siliki is pushing for an opportunity in central midfield, while Duncan Watmore should come back into the attack.

Isaiah Jones could get the nod over Onel Hernandez at left wing-back.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Lockyer, Bradley, Naismith; Bree, Clark, Mpanzu, Bell; Onyedinma, Muskwe, Cornick

Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Lumley; McNair, Bamba, Peltier; Tavernier, Siliki, Howson, Crooks, Jones; Watmore, Sporar


SM words green background

We say: Luton Town 1-1 Middlesbrough

With this game pitting one of the best Championship attacks against one of the most resolute backlines, we expect a competitive encounter. Warnock will fancy Boro's chances of bouncing back, but we are backing Luton to earn a deserved share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Luton vs Middlesbrough

Luton Town
64.8%
Draw
18.7%
Middlesbrough
16.5%
91
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General view of Middlesbrough's Riverside Stadium taken March 2018
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