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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Stoke logo

Luton
0 - 1
Stoke


Campbell (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (34')
Batth (48'), Skiri Oestigaard (51'), Smith (65'), Bursik (70'), Brown (80')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Luton Town will host Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday afternoon with both sides looking to build on midweek victories with another three points.

The Hatters are unbeaten in their last six league games on home soil, while the Potters last tasted defeat at Kenilworth Road back in February 2000.


Match preview

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones reacts on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Luton Town bounced back from their 2-0 defeat against Preston North End last weekend with a 3-1 victory at home against Middlesbrough on Tuesday night.

The hosts were trailing at half time after Josh Coburn put the visitors in front in the 15th minute, but strikes from Sonny Bradley, Elijah Adebayo and Harry Cornick ensured that the Hatters came away with all three points for the sixth time this season.

Nathan Jones's men have moved up to eighth in the Championship standings, just one point behind Saturday's opponents Stoke who currently occupy the final playoff position.

Luton head into this weekend's clash winless in 10 matches against the Potters across all competitions, including two defeats without scoring last season.

Their home form, however, is one positive they can take into this game, as they have only lost one of their last 12 league games at Kenilworth Road, keeping eight clean sheets in the process.

Stoke City's manager Michael O'Neill pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

After a run of five games without a win across all competitions, Stoke were able to claim a slender 1-0 victory away against high-flying Blackpool on Wednesday night.

The game was goalless until the 79th minute when Harry Souttar's powerful volley at the far post hit the woodwork before fortunately deflecting off the chest of Steven Fletcher from just a few yards out.

That result has seen the Potters climb back into the playoffs on goal difference and a victory on Saturday for Michael O'Neill's men would consolidate their place in the top six heading into the international break.

Stoke should be confident of claiming all three points considering their impressive record away from home against Luton, after winning six of their last 10 games at Kenilworth Road, including a 2-0 triumph last season.

Luton Town Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Stoke City Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Stoke City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W


Team News

Stoke City's Jacob Brown celebrates scoring their first goal on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Luton midfielder Luke Berry is set to miss the rest of this month with a knee injury, but otherwise Jones will have a fully fit squad to choose from.

A similar side that played against Middlesbrough is set to be named again on Saturday, though the likes of Fred Onyedinma, Cameron Jerome and Glen Rea will all be pushing for a place in the first XI.

Striker Elijah Adebayo, who has scored seven goals in his last eight league games for the Hatters, is expected to lead the line in attack alongside Cornick.

As for Stoke, they will be without Nick Powell (leg), Morgan Fox (hamstring), Sam Clucas (thigh), Alfie Doughty (hip) and Abdallah Sima (groin), who are all ruled out with injuries.

Jacob Brown, who recently received his first international call-up for Scotland ahead of this month's World Cup qualifiers, is expected to keep his place in attack alongside either Fletcher, Sam Surridge or Tyrese Campbell.

Mario Vrancic came off the bench in the victory against Blackpool, but could be handed a start in midfield this weekend ahead of either Jordan Thompson or Romaine Sawyers.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Burke, Bradley, Naismith; Bree, Lansbury, Mpanzu, Osho, Potts; Cornick, Adebayo

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bursik; Wilmot, Souttar, Batth; Smith, Vrancic, Allen, Thompson, Tymon; Brown, Fletcher


SM words green background

We say: Luton Town 1-1 Stoke City

Both sides head into this encounter off the back of impressive victories in midweek and will be keen to claim another three points on Saturday, as they aim to finish inside the top six before the international break.

However, with little to separate these two teams, a score draw could be on the cards at Kenilworth Road.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Luton vs Stoke

Luton Town
46.7%
Draw
30.0%
Stoke City
23.3%
60
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