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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lille

Marseille
1 - 1
Lille

Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')

Preview: Marseille vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille, including team news and predicted lineups.

Marseille will be out to hit back from a disappointing midweek defeat when they take on in-form Lille at the Stade Velodrome on Sunday evening.

Les Phoceens' perfect start to the season was ended by Saint-Etienne on Thursday, while Lille made it back-to-back victories by overcoming Metz in their last outing.


Match preview

Top spot was there for the taking for Marseille heading into their clash with Saint-Etienne, but strikes from Romain Hamouma and Denis Bouanga in either half saw them lose 2-0.

Andre Villas-Boas's men struggled to find any sort of rhythm to their play, not helped by the absence of suspended pair Jordan Amavi and Dario Benedetto.

Both players were sent off late on in a highly-charged clash with Paris Saint-Germain last weekend, which Marseille edged 1-0 to make it back-to-back victories to start the season.

The loss to Saint-Etienne has set them back, though, and this is not the fixture Villas-Boas would have wanted next as his side aim to quickly hit back.

Andre Villas-Boas in charge of Marseille on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Les Dogues drew 1-1 with Rennes on the opening weekend of the season and have since seen off Reims and Metz by the same 1-0 scoreline, lifting them up to fourth in the table.

Going further back, Lille are unbeaten in their last six Ligue 1 games and have won five of those - their best run in the top flight since a run of eight in May 2019.

The visitors have also kept a clean sheet in seven of their last nine league matches, conceding only three goals in this period, including two against Marseille in February.

That most recent encounter finished 2-1 to Les Phoceens, making it just two wins in 13 meetings for Lille.

At the Stade Velodrome, meanwhile, Marseille have only lost one of their last nine games against Lille in Ligue 1 - a 2-1 reverse in January 2019.

Marseille Ligue 1 form: WWL

Lille Ligue 1 form: DWW


Team News

Marseille's Dimitri Payet during training on May 15, 2018 © Reuters

Benedetto is back for Marseille and will likely lead the line, but Amavi is serving the second of his three-match ban.

New signing Yuto Nagatomo was not eligible to face Saint-Etienne but is in Villas-Boas's thoughts for this match.

Left-sided attacker Dimitri Payet has scored only one goal in 963 minutes played against former team Lille in Ligue 1.

In terms of the visitors, Renato Sanches and Xeka are fitness doubts, with neither likely to be included in the starting XI.

However, left-back Reinildo is in contention after returning from a ban that kept him out against Metz.

Lille forward Jonathan Bamba has been involved in five goals against Marseille in Ligue 1 - his joint-best record against any opponent.

Marseille possible starting lineup:
Mandanda; Sarr, Gonzalez, Caleta-Carr, Nagatomo; Rongier, Kamara, Sanson; Thauvin, Benedetto, Payet

Lille possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Celik, Fonte, Botman, Bradaric; Ikone, Andre, Soumare, Bamba; Yilmaz, David


SM words green background

We say: Marseille 1-1 Lille

Lille have won their last four away games, keeping a clean sheet in the last three of those. Not since 2004 have they won four in a row without conceding, and we can see that run ending this weekend as they face a Marseille side determined to hit back from their midweek disappointment.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Lille had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lille?

Marseille
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lille
0.0%
0
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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