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Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 43
Jul 11, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Bristol City

1-3

FT(HT: 0-2)
Wells (6', 79'), Paterson (42')

Preview: Middlesbrough vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship showdown between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Promotion outsiders Bristol City will be looking to build on their first Championship win since February when travel to relegation-threatened Middlesbrough on Saturday afternoon.

Middlesbrough also enjoyed victory last time out as they boosted their survival hopes with a 2-0 win at Millwall on Wednesday.


Match preview

Middlesbrough manager Neil Warnock pictured on June 27, 2020© Reuters

Following two successive defeats to Hull City and Queens Park Rangers, Middlesbrough got their survival fight back on track as goals from Britt Assombalonga and Ashley Fletcher put Millwall to the sword on their own turf.

The result now means that Boro have two points worth of breathing space from the relegation zone as they lie 18th in the table, although Neil Warnock's men could drop one place down to 19th if Stoke record an unlikely victory over promotion-chasing Leeds United on Thursday.

Boro have now picked up as many wins since the restart as they had in their last 12 before play was brought to a halt, although all five of their most recent wins have come on the road.

As Boro return to the Riverside Stadium, where they have lost to Swansea City and Queens Park Rangers following the league's resumption, Warnock's side will aspire to claim their first three points on home soil since Boxing Day.

A victory for the relegation candidates on Saturday would see Warnock's men hit the coveted 50-point mark for the season - a tally which Boro supporters should feel to be enough to preserve their side's status as a Championship club for the 2020-21 campaign.

Bristol City's Jamie Paterson celebrates scoring against Hull City in the Championship on July 8, 2020© Reuters

Bristol City's start to life without Lee Johnson in the dugout could not have kicked off in a better way as they enjoyed a 2-1 victory over a struggling Hull City side in midweek.

Goals from Famara Diedhiou and Jamie Paterson set City on their way to their first three points since February following a barren run which saw them drift away from the top six at this crucial stage.

Prior to the win over Hull, Bristol City had only managed to amass two points from 27 on offer in their last nine league outings, and the Robins managed to end a four-game losing streak since the restart in midweek.

A spot in the playoffs certainly seems far-fetched for Bristol City with only four games left to play, especially considering that the 12th-placed side lie six points adrift of the top six, but the Robins are not out of contention just yet.

As City's search for a new permanent manager continues, Dean Holden will no doubt be looking to bring some more long-awaited joy to the supporters with a first win on the road since the beginning of February.

Boro and Bristol City played out a 2-2 draw at Ashton Gate earlier in the campaign, although Warnock's side have only managed to overcome Bristol City twice in their most recent nine meetings.

Middlesbrough Championship form: WLWLLW

Bristol City Championship form: DLLLLW


Team News

Middlesbrough's Lewis Wing celebrates scoring their second goal on February 11, 2020© Reuters

Middlesbrough's solitary injury concern is Daniel Ayala, who is not expected to feature as he nurses an ankle injury.

Warnock could switch back to a defensive four against the leaky defence of Bristol City, potentially opening the door for Marcus Tavernier to return to the attack.

Bristol City are still without the suspended Ashley Williams, while Pedro Pereira and Niki Maenpaa remain sidelined through injury.

Centre-back Nathan Baker was forced off early on in the win over Hull with a head injury, meaning that Zak Vyner may deputise in the heart of defence.

Holden opted for a three-at-the-back formation for his first game in charge and may stick with the system after it paid dividends against Hull, and Nahki Wells will be out to improve his 16-goal tally for the season this weekend.

Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Stojanovic; Spence, Shotton, Fry, Friend; Howson, Saville, Clayton; Tavernier, Assombalonga, Fletcher

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Kalas, Benkovic, Vyner; Hunt, Weimann, Nagy, Paterson, Dasilva; Wells, Diedhiou


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City

Bristol City would have received a huge injection of confidence after finally managing to get three points on the board following the restart, and Middlesbrough have struggled on their own patch in recent months, so we are expecting both teams to walk away with a share of the spoils at the weekend.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%).


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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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