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[monks data]
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium MK
Lincoln City

MK Dons
2 - 1
Lincoln

Darling (39'), O'Hora (47')
Coventry (69'), Harvie (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marquis (8')

Preview: MK Dons vs. Lincoln City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With the automatic promotion places within touching distance, MK Dons will be keen to continue their strong run of form when Lincoln City make the journey to Stadium MK on Saturday afternoon.

Still without their League One status secured, Lincoln can ill-afford any more slip-ups, with this weekend's clash teetering on a must-win for either side.


Match preview

MK Dons' Matt O'Riley celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 11, 2022© Reuters

While they may have played three games more than second-placed Wigan Athletic, MK Dons are currently four points behind the Lancashire club with just over a quarter of the season remaining.

Having been amongst the playoff picture for the majority of the campaign, Liam Manning will be keen to see his side finish the campaign strong, while pushing the automatic promotion chasers up until the last minute of the final game.

A Championship club as recently 2015-16, the Milton Keynes-based outfit do boast second-tier pedigree, with the Dons eyeing up a return next season.

Things may have looked much better for MK Dons had they not lost a surprise battle with bottom-placed Doncaster Rovers two weeks ago – a result that saw them lose touch slightly with the top-three.

The good news for Manning's men, all three sides above them have also dropped points in recent weeks, suggesting that there still remains hope for MK Dons to bridge the gap.

Elsewhere in League One, the relegation battle refuses to die down, with a number of sides entering the final three months of the season under threat of the drop.

One of those teams is, of course, Lincoln, who head into the weekend a mere three points above 21st-placed Morecambe.

Granted, the Imps do boast two games in hand on most of their relegation rivals, but as seen far too often in seasons gone by, having those points on the board is definitely the stronger position to be in.

Regular meetings between the pair have taken place in recent years, with neither side being able to establish themselves as the superior side.

Winners last time out in the reverse fixture earlier this year, MK Dons will be keen to complete a league double over Lincoln for the first time since 2008-09.

MK Dons League One form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Lincoln City League One form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Lincoln City's Chris McGuire celebrates with teammates after the match on January 11, 2022© Reuters

Jamie Cumming will line up between the sticks for MK Dons once again, with their usual back-three of Harry Darling, Warren O'Hora and Dean Lewington just in front.

Tottenham Hotspur fans will be keen to see how loanee Troy Parrott ends the season, with the striker having established himself in the MK Dons starting XI.

The 19-year-old will be eyeing up a fourth league goal of the campaign, as support from Scott Twine and Theo Corbeanu comes either side.

Undoubtedly, Lincoln's biggest goal threats will come in the shape of John Marquis and Anthony Scully, who have both chipped in for the Imps this season.

Liam Cullen is expected to anchor the Lincoln midfield once again, with centre-back duo Regan Poole and Adam Jackson operating just behind.

MK Dons possible starting lineup:
Cumming; O'Hara, Darling, Lewington; Watson, McEachran, Coventry, Harvie; Corbeanu, Parrott, Twine

Lincoln City possible starting lineup:
Griffiths; Bishop, Poole, Jackson, Bramall; Cullen, McGrandles, Fiorini; Whittaker, Marquis, Scully


SM words green background

We say: MK Dons 2-0 Lincoln City

MK Dons are the side in the ascendancy heading into the clash and will be confident that their home support can take them to yet another victory.

Expect the hosts to achieve a simple win against a Lincoln side in danger of being dragged further and further into a relegation scrap.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: MK Dons vs Lincoln

MK Dons
61.1%
Draw
11.1%
Lincoln City
27.8%
18
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Wycombe Wanderers' Brandon Hanlan celebrates scoring their first goal on January 11, 2022
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