MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 12:56:59| >> :600:9096107:9096107:
[monks data]
Molde logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion
Dundalk

Molde
3 - 1
Dundalk

Wolff Eikrem (30'), Omoijuanfo (41'), Ellingsen (67')
Rode Gregersen (52'), Risa (84'), Knudtzon (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Flores (90+4')
Gartland (66')

Preview: Molde vs. Dundalk - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Molde can take another step closer to the last 32 of the Europa League should they overcome a Dundalk side still without a point in Group B.

The Norwegian side are second in the standings, level on points with third-place Rapid Vienna, with two rounds of fixtures to go.


Match preview

Dundalk manager Filippo Giovagnoli pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Molde's back-to-back defeats against Arsenal has given Rapid a chance to make up a six-point deficit on the Eliteserien champions.

Not since November 2012 have they lost three European games in a row, and they enter this home clash with Dundalk as strong favourites.

The Irish visitors are competing in the competition proper for the second time - an achievement in itself - but have yet to get off the mark with a first point.

The Lilywhites lost 2-1 at home to Molde in the reverse fixture and have since lost to Arsenal and twice to Rapid Vienna.

Excluding qualifying games, Dundalk are now winless in their last 21 away games in all European competitions since winning their first ever such match against FC Zurich in 1963.

Molde's Ola Brynhildsen in action with Dundalk's John Mountney and Andy Boyle in the Europa League on October 22, 2020© Reuters

The 3-1 home loss to Rapid last time out means that Filippo Giovagnoli's charges can now no longer reach the first knockout stage.

It is all to play for as far as Molde are concerned, though, with a chance to open up a three-point margin on matchday six opponents Rapid, who face Arsenal on Thursday.

The hosts enter this game on the back of two wins in their last three in all competitions. Dundalk have an identical record, including a 11-0 cup win at Athlone Town on Sunday.

Molde have won all three of their previous meetings with Irish opponents, meanwhile, whereas Dundalk lost 2-1 to Rosenborg in their only previous encounter with a Norwegian side.

Molde Europa League form: WWLL
Molde form (all competitions): WLDWLW

Dundalk Europa League form: LLLL
Dundalk form (all competitions): DLLWLW


Team News

Arsenal's Joe Willock in action with Molde's Etzaz Hussain in the Europa League on November 26, 2020© Reuters

Patrick McEleney was one of nine different scorers in Dundalk's record win over Athlone, on top of providing five assists, which will do his chances of starting this game no harm.

Giovagnoli made four changes to his lineup for that game and, despite being out of the competition, he is expected to go with his strongest possible XI on Thursday.

Molde have a settled system and not many changes - if any - are expected from last time out.

Ohi Omoijuanfo, with two goals in four Europa League outings this term, will be pushing Leke James for a start up top.

Molde possible starting lineup:
Linde; Wingo, Gregersen, Sinyan, Risa; Aursnes, Hussain; Hestad, Eikrem, Elingsen; James

Dundalk possible starting lineup:
Rogers; Cleary, Boyle, Hoare; Gannon, Sloggett, Shields, Dummigan; Colovic, McMillan, Duffy


SM words green background

We say: Molde 3-1 Dundalk

Dundalk may have lost all four of their Group B matches - and eight in a row overall in the competition - but they have at least scored in three of those defeats.

This will not be a straightforward game for Molde, but they have won four and drawn one of their last six home games and will surely have enough quality to pick up the points here.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:424619:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6413:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Molde vs Dundalk

Molde
75.8%
Draw
13.4%
Dundalk
10.8%
186
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