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[monks data]
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Nacional

Moreirense
2 - 2
Nacional

Ferraresi (62'), Luis (81')
Simao (16'), Franco (44'), Luis (78'), Soares (90+1'), Camara (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soares (43' og.), Rochez (74')
Mendes (18'), Azouni (53'), Bessa (66'), Danilovic (71'), Pedrao (90+1')

Preview: Moreirense vs. Nacional - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nacional make the trip to Moreirense on Thursday still sitting five points away from moving outside of the Primeira Liga relegation zone.

Despite four matches without success, the home side will feel that victory against the bottom-placed team will keep them in the hunt for sixth position.


Match preview

For a team who have scored less than a goal per game throughout the season, Moreirense are arguably punching above their weight in eighth spot.

Nevertheless, with three of their remaining four opponents being below them in the standings, Vasco Seabra knows that there is an opportunity to finish higher than their current position.

A 2-0 defeat at rivals Vitoria de Guimaraes is a significant blow with the result extending their recent run to just one win in eight fixtures.

However, with a point against Porto still fresh in the memory, the Green and Whites should have the belief to overcome their struggling opponents.

Top goalscorers Rafael Martins has contributed just two strikes and one assist in his last nine appearances.

As far as Nacional are concerned, they are almost at the point where only victories will do if they want to survive in the Primeira Liga.

With seven points the gap to 15th position, earning a place in the relegation playoff is realistically their best-case scenario with potential rivals Famalicao to come in their penultimate game.

Manuel Machado's side must first negotiate the contest on Thursday, a fixture which is taking place before the visit of Benfica five days later.

While the White and Black were only seven minutes away from earning something against leaders Sporting Lisbon at the weekend, conceding two late goals has upped the stakes ahead of the trip to Estadio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L

Nacional Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Seabra will consider making changes to his Moreirense starting lineup after their poor performance in the last game.

Walterson, Abdu Conte and Filipe Soares could all be handed opportunities after being called upon during the second half at Guimaraes.

Nacional will have to make do without Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan after the midfielder was dismissed for two yellow cards against Sporting.

Nuno Borges could return to the side as his replacement, while Eber Bessa is an alternative to Ruben Micael.

Bryan Rochez may also get the nod ahead of Joao Camacho if Machado sticks with a 3-4-1-2 formation.

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Ferraresi, Rosic, Ba; D'Alberto, Pacheco, Simao, Figueiredo; Walterson, Martins, Yan

Nacional possible starting lineup:
Filipe; Pedrao, Cesar, Correia; Freitas, Borges, Azouni, Witi; Micael; Rochez, Riascos


SM words green background

We say: Moreirense 1-0 Nacional

Despite their setback at Sporting last time out, Nacional will still possess the confidence which came from their previous victory.

Nevertheless, we still expect the home side to prevail in this encounter, potentially by a solitary goal.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Moreirense vs Nacional

Moreirense
79.2%
Draw
18.8%
Nacional
2.1%
48
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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