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[monks data]
Senegal national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Mozambique national football team

Senegal
1 - 0
Mozambique

P (63')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Mozambique vs. Senegal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's COSAFA Cup clash between Mozambique and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to kickstart their COSAFA Cup campaign after a shock defeat last time out, Senegal brace themselves up for the challenge of Mozambique on Friday.

On the other hand, Mozambique will aim to push on from an impressive opening day draw against one of the tournament favourites.


Match preview

Senegal boss Aliou Cisse salutes on July 5, 2019© Reuters

Senegal suffered a 2-1 loss against Namibia on Wednesday when the two sides clashed at the Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium.

Albert Diene scored in the 17th-minute to cancel out Marcel Papama's strike four minutes earlier, but Elmo Kambindu was on target five minutes into the second period to decide the game.

Aliou Cisse's men must now pick themselves up to avoid being left with too much work to do as regards qualification into the next round.

The Lions of Teranga sit bottom of Group B as things stand, but there is no cause for alarm yet, with four rounds of games still yet to come.

Friday's match is the first meeting between the sides in 15 years and a sixth overall, with the number one ranked team in Africa yet to taste defeat in any of the previous five.

Mozambique have gotten off to a decent start following a 0-0 draw on Wednesday versus tournament specialists Zimbabwe.

Horacio Goncalves's men showed great resolve to earn a crucial point, having had their backs against the wall for the majority of the game.

For the first time since 2015 when they overcame Malawi, Os Mambas have managed to avoid defeat in their opening COSAFA Cup game.

That result should give Os Mambas a huge confidence boost heading into their next game in which they will be considered underdogs again.

Mozambique COSAFA Cup form:
  • L

Mozambique form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Senegal COSAFA Cup form:
  • L

Senegal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Albert Diene is expected to keep his place in attack after opening the scoring last time out with a well-taken finish.

However, Rassoul Ba could make way for Alassane Kante up top following a subpar display by the 20-year-old against Namibia.

Horacio Goncalves might contemplate dropping one of Abel Joshua, Candinho and Shaquille, who all picked up yellow cards, to avoid a potential suspension tightrope.

No changes are expected to be made to a defensive unit which more than held its own against a relentless barrage from Zimbabwe.

Mozambique possible starting lineup:
Ernan; Muze, Martinho, Simbane, Cigano; Macaime, Salas, Shaquille; Telinho, Novela, Melito

Senegal possible starting lineup:
N'Diaye; Gomis, Gningue, Fall, Ndiaye; Kane, Mendy, Diallo; Diene, Diop, Djitte


SM words green background

We say: Mozambique 1-2 Senegal

Senegal know that they have little margin for error after a far-from-ideal opening result last time out. We are tipping them to kickstart their campaign with all three points in this one.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Mozambique vs Senegal

Mozambique
26.3%
Draw
0.0%
Senegal
73.7%
19
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