MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 05:48:43| >> :600:187190:187190:
[monks data]
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Lens logo

Nantes
3 - 2
Lens

Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')

Preview: Nantes vs. Lens - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nantes welcome Lens to the Stade de la Beaujoire on Friday evening for the opening game of Ligue 1's 18th and penultimate round of games before the winter break.

The hosts finally ended their winless streak last weekend, whilst their upcoming opponents very nearly took three points off runaway leaders Paris Saint-Germain.


Match preview

Nantes head coach Antoine Kombouare pictured on September 12, 2021© Reuters

In their defence, Nantes' five-game run without a win was fairly understandable when you consider that it contained games against PSG, reigning champions Lille and second-placed Marseille.

The table-toppers required two late goals to beat them at the Parc des Princes, the champions could only manage a draw at home and Marseille were kept to a narrow 1-0 win, despite Nantes being reduced to 10 men.

Those results may even have built in confidence in the squad and, either way, their recent persistence paid off on Sunday when they ended their winless streak away at Lorient.

It took Les Canaris until the 83rd minute to break down their struggling hosts, but Wylan Cyprien's turn and finish into the bottom corner was enough to secure a 1-0 victory and give Antoine Kombouare's men breathing space in mid-table.

They will now have to repeat the feat against a tougher opposition, and one which they have not beaten since 2014.

Lens' Przemys?aw Frankowski celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on October 24, 2021© Reuters

Lens' eye-catching start to the season - earning 18 points from the opening nine matches - had slowed slightly in recent weeks and they came into the match with PSG having managed just two wins in their last seven games.

As has often been the case with the league leaders this season, though, they allowed their opposition to take the lead, Seko Fofana's strike finding its way past Keylor Navas to put the hosts deservedly ahead.

Les Sang et Or nearly doubled their lead when David Costa struck the post in the second half, but Mauricio Pochettino turned the tide with a triple substitution and two of those new players combined for a late equaliser.

Kylian Mbappe's cross found the head of Georginio Wijnaldum and the Dutchman made it 1-1 in the 91st minute, resulting in a third successive draw for Lens.

Nonetheless, this remains an impressive campaign for a club only promoted to the top tier 18 months ago and Franck Haise will fancy his side's chances of improving on the 1-1 draws the two sides produced in their encounters last campaign.

Nantes Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Lens Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Lens' Wesley Said celebrates scoring their first goal on October 24, 2021© Reuters

The hosts remain without the services of Sebastien Corchia, Renaud Emond and Roli Pereira de Sa, who have been sidelined by hamstring, muscle and collarbone injuries respectively.

They will have defender and captain Nicolas Pallois back having served his suspension for a red card, with Andrei Girotto likely to make way in the backline.

As for Lens, forwards Gael Kakuta and Wesley Said are still a couple of weeks away from full fitness, meaning Florian Sotoca, Costa and Arnaud Kalimuendo are set to remain the front three.

Deiver Machado is a longer-term absence with a meniscus injury, but fellow defenders Jonathan Clauss and Cheick Doucoure are due to return from suspension.

Nantes possible starting lineup:
Lafont; Merlin, Girotto, Pallois, Appiah; Cyprien, Chirivella; Kolo Muani, Blas, Simon; Coulibaly

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Medina, Danso, Gradit; Clauss, Frankowski, Fofana, Doucoure; Sotoca, Costa, Kalimuendo


SM words green background

We say: Nantes 0-1 Lens

Nantes will have gained some confidence from their recent win, but Lens likely gained more from their draw against the mighty PSG. We are backing them to defy their recent away record and secure a narrow victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:472252:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9149:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Nantes vs Lens

Nantes
27.2%
Draw
24.6%
Lens
48.2%
114
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Paris Saint-Germain's Georginio Wijnaldum celebrates scoring against RB Leipzig on November 3, 2021
Read Next:
Wijnaldum to return to Newcastle United?
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!