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Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2021 at 8pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
0 - 1
Marseille


Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')

Preview: Nantes vs. Marseille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fourth-placed Marseille travel north-west to the Stade de la Beaujoire to take on Nantes in Wednesday evening's Ligue 1 action.

The two sides are heading in opposite directions - the hosts are winless in four matches whilst their upcoming opponents are unbeaten in six.


Match preview

Nantes head coach Antoine Kombouare pictured on September 12, 2021© Reuters

Nantes are enjoying a respectable mid-table ranking after last season's relegation dogfight, but they now find themselves with just two wins - over struggling Ligue 1 newcomers Troyes and Clermont - in their last eight games.

They are also without a clean sheet since that win over ESTAC back at the start of October, so Antoine Kombouare may need to reshuffle things at the back to avoid his side slipping further down the table and potentially finding themselves dragged into a battle at the bottom once again.

A 1-1 draw away against reigning champions Lille was a respectable result at the weekend, however - Ludovic Blas netted his seventh of the season to equalise in the 24th minute after Burak Yilmaz's early opener and Les Canaris held on until the final whistle.

They will have been relieved to do so, having played the final quarter of an hour with 10 men after Fabio Da Silva earned himself a red card and gave Lille a penalty, only for Ivo Grbic to produce a vital save.

That result also ended a five-match winning streak for Les Dogues at home to Nantes, and Kombouare's men will now face a team against which they have a far better record.

Olympique de Marseille's Dimitri Payet walks off the pitch injured after being hit by a water bottle thrown by a fan on November 21, 2021© Reuters

Perhaps surprisingly, Marseille have managed just one win during their previous six encounters with Nantes, and have tasted defeat on three occasions.

They have form on their side, however, having lost just once in their last nine games in all competitions, and overcame a trying week to narrowly beat Troyes on Sunday evening.

Jorge Sampaoli would maybe have expected a more convincing scoreline than 1-0 courtesy of a 74th-minute Pol Lirola goal against a side struggling near the bottom of the table, but considering what they had gone through in the seven days prior, the manager will probably take it.

First came their match against Lyon, which was abandoned after just five minutes of play when Dimitri Payet was once again hit by a bottle thrown from the stands. Despite an announcement over the stadium tannoy that the game would restart, the Marseille players were unwilling to return and the game was eventually called off almost two hours after it was initially halted.

Then on Thursday, Les Olympiens were beaten 4-2 by Galatasaray, which resulted in them crashing out of the Europa League. Sampaoli will hope for an easier week, starting with a win at Nantes.

Nantes Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Marseille Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Marseille form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Cengiz Under in action for Leicester City in December 2020© Reuters

Nantes will be without Fabio after the aforementioned red card, whilst Charles Traore has been sidelined with illness.

Sebastien Corchia (hamstring), Renaud Emond (muscle) and Roli Pereira de Sa (collarbone) have also been ruled out through injuries.

For Marseille, Sampaoli will have a near-full squad to choose from, with Cengiz Under the only absence through a back injury.

Arkadiusz Milik will continue to lead the line in a 4-1-4-1 formation, supported by the ever-creative Payet.

Nantes possible starting lineup:
Lafont; Merlin, Girotto, Pallois, Appiah; Cyprien, Chirivella; Kolo Muani, Blas, Simon; Coulibaly

Marseille possible starting lineup:
Lopez; Peres, Saliba, Gonzalez, Rongier; Gueye; Guendouzi, Gerson, Lirola, Payet; Milik


SM words green background

We say: Nantes 1-2 Marseille

Marseille have probably overcome enough adversity during this season to convince them that nothing can stand in their way. Games involving Nantes tend to see both teams score so we are backing a 2-1 away win on this occasion.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.


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Game History

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
25.8%
Draw
21.2%
Marseille
53.0%
66
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Galatasaray's Burak Yilmaz during the Turkish Super League football match between Fenerbahce and Galatasaray, at Sukru Saracoglu stadium in Istanbul, on on May 12, 2013
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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