Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.