MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 21:50:32| >> :120:4773:4773:
Germany national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Spain national football team

Germany
1 - 1
Spain

Werner (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gaya (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash between Germany and Spain, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Ahead of Spain's UEFA Nations League clash with Germany in Stuttgart, Sports Mole looks at how La Roja could line up.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Germany win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawSpain
36.66%24.06%39.28%
Both teams to score 61.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77%41.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38%63.62%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57%22.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04%55.97%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87%21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.03%53.98%
Score Analysis
    Germany 36.66%
    Spain 39.28%
    Draw 24.06%
GermanyDrawSpain
2-1 @ 8.23%
1-0 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.66%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.28%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Spain
P-P
Germany
Mar 23, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
1-1
Spain
Muller (35')
Rodrigo (6')
Nov 18, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Spain
0-1
Germany
Jun 9, 2013 7.30pm
Jul 7, 2010 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Germany
0-1
Spain
Puyol (73')
rhs 2.0
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