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Netherlands national football team
International Friendly
Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Germany national football team

Netherlands
1 - 1
Germany

Bergwijn (68')
Depay (29'), de Jong (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muller (45+1')
Raum (83'), Rudiger (89')

Preview: Netherlands vs. Germany - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Netherlands and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh from an enthralling six-goal battle with Denmark, the Netherlands prepare for a swift return to the Johan Cruijff Arena to take on fellow heavyweights Germany in Tuesday's international friendly.

Louis van Gaal's side ran out 4-2 winners over their Scandinavian counterparts on Saturday, while Hansi Flick's men comfortably dispatched Israel by two goals to nil.


Match preview

Netherlands' Steven Bergwijn celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 26, 2022© Reuters

Tottenham Hotspur players past and present stole the show in Amsterdam on Saturday night, as Christian Eriksen's first taste of international action since his horrific cardiac arrest at Euro 2020 saw the Brentford playmaker produce a delightful curling finish into the top corner.

Eriksen's strike followed Jannik Vestergaard's header for Denmark, but the Netherlands had already struck through Steven Bergwijn, Nathan Ake and Memphis Depay by that point, and Bergwijn added a classy second for himself on the 71-minute mark.

With preparations for the 2022 World Cup now in full swing, Netherlands boss Van Gaal also made headlines for his comments over the imminent Qatar tournament - hitting out at the "ridiculous" choice of host nation - sparking a strongly-worded response from secretary general Hassan Al-Thawadi.

On the pitch, however, Oranje seemed to thrive in Van Gaal's experimental 5-3-2 formation to match the Danes' similar setup, and it certainly led to a good watch from the neutral point of view as the Dutch made it six wins from seven in all tournaments.

This week's hosts have now racked up a staggering 14 goals in their last four games and welcome Germany to Amsterdam having won each of their last six on the bounce at home, so Hansi Flick's side sure do have their work cut out for them here.

Germany coach Hansi Flick during the match on March 26, 2022© Reuters

Seeking to kill the game off before the half-time whistle blew against Israel, Germany had their Chelsea contingent to thank for a comfortable 45 minutes at home to Israel, as Kai Havertz's header and Timo Werner's deft touch sent Die Mannschaft two goals into the ascendancy.

It was a tale of two penalties in the second 45 minutes, as Thomas Muller's effort from 12 yards struck the post before Germany debutant Nico Schlotterbeck almost gave Israel a way back into the game, but substitute goalkeeper Kevin Trapp did well to keep out Yonatan Cohen's spot kick.

Flick's side could and probably should have won by more had it not been for the efforts of Israel goalkeeper Ofir Marciano, but their sensational streak of victories is showing no signs of stopping anytime soon, with Flick overseeing eight wins from eight since replacing Joachim Low at the helm.

That phenomenal streak has seen the 2014 World Cup winners score 33 goals and concede a mere two - they have never failed to score at least two in a game under the former Bayern Munich boss - and the next task for Flick is to end his side's five-game winless run away from home in friendlies.

If goals were not already on the menu on Tuesday, a quick look back at the recent meetings between the sides all but guarantees a terrific spectacle, with the last four clashes between the Netherlands and Germany since 2018 producing 18 goals as both sides won one apiece in the Euro 2020 qualifiers.

Netherlands International Friendlies form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Netherlands form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Germany International Friendlies form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Germany form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Germany's Kai Havertz scores their first goal with teammates on March 26, 2022© Reuters

The Netherlands saw the trio of Cody Gakpo, Jordan Teze and Jurrien Timber all withdraw injured prior to the Denmark win, but Van Gaal has no fresh concerns to report from Saturday's game.

After deploying a three-man central defence against the Danes, the Dutch boss may be tempted to return to a back four here, with Hans Hateboer and Owen Wijndal ready to provide fresh legs amid the quick turnaround.

It would be surprising to see Georginio Wijnaldum and Arnaut Danjuma benched again, while Depay needs just one more strike to equal Patrick Kluivert's 40 and go joint-third in the team's all-time goalscoring charts.

Germany also had to work around a couple of withdrawals for the Israel win in the forms of Serge Gnabry and Karim Adeyemi, while Robin Koch was also absent from the squad.

Joshua Kimmich missed the win over Israel due to the birth of his child and is not expected back here, and Die Mannschaft did not pick up any fresh injury woes last time out.

As is the case with the Netherlands, rotation should be on the cards for Germany, with first-choice goalkeeper Manuel Neuer, Thomas Muller and Leroy Sane all in line to return to the XI.

Netherlands possible starting lineup:
Flekken; Dumfries, De Ligt, Van Dijk, Wijndal; Wijnaldum, De Jong; Bergwijn, Berghuis, Danjuma; Depay

Germany possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Kehrer, Rudiger, Ginter, Raum; Gundogan, Musiala; Sane, Muller, Havertz; Werner


SM words green background

We say: Netherlands 1-3 Germany

A mouthwatering clash between two sides who find the back of the net at a ridiculous rate should undoubtedly be one to watch this week, although it would be unsurprisingly ironic for the footballing gods to produce a goalless stalemate in Amsterdam.

Changes can be expected on both ends, but the majority of Flick's big-hitters are well-rested and are looking unstoppable under the 57-year-old, so we expect Die Mannschaft's winning run to stretch to nine games here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Germany had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 5.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.71%) and 3-1 (4.96%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Netherlands vs Germany

Netherlands
32.4%
Draw
19.0%
Germany
48.6%
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Germany boss Hansi Flick pictured in August 2021
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