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Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 7
Nov 1, 2020 at 2pm UK
St James' Park
Everton logo

Newcastle
2 - 1
Everton

Wilson (56' pen., 84')
Wilson (55'), Murphy (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Calvert-Lewin (90+1')
Nkounkou (32'), Mina (69'), Allan (72'), Doucoure (88')

Preview: Newcastle United vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Everton, including predictions and team news.

The Premier League's early pace-setters Everton will be hoping to return to winning ways when they travel to Newcastle United on Sunday.

The Toffees lost for the first time this season when Southampton beat them 2-0 last weekend, on the same day that the Magpies drew 1-1 with Wolverhampton Wanderers.


Match preview

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti on February 8, 2020© Reuters

It was an out-of-character performance from Carlo Ancelotti's side against the Saints, and to make matters worse they had Lucas Digne sent off in the second half.

Everton have now conceded at least twice in four of their past five Premier League games as questions continue to be asked of Jordan Pickford.

The fixture on the South Coast was also the first time that their attack has drawn a blank, having been otherwise excellent so far this season.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin ranks second in the Premier League's scoring charts with seven goals, while James Rodriguez has settled quickly into life on Merseyside with three goals and three assists.

Fellow summer signings Allan and Abdoulaye Doucoure have also massively improved Everton's side and supporters are now dreaming of qualifying for the Champions League for the first time since 2005.

Newcastle United's Jacob Murphy celebrates scoring against Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on October 25, 2020© Reuters

Newcastle left it late to snatch a point against Wolves, with Jacob Murphy – starting in the Premier League for the first time since December 2018 – equalising with a free kick in the 89th-minute.

Steve Bruce's team have not kept a league clean sheet since the opening day of the season and have conceded eight goals in three home games.

Their two league defeats have both come at St James' Park and they have been comfortably beaten on each occasion – 3-0 against Brighton & Hove Albion and 4-1 against Manchester United.

On the plus side, they have scored in eight of their nine matches in all competitions and will fancy their chances of netting against a shaky Everton defence.

Newcastle have won just twice in the last 15 meetings between these two sides, but both of those victories did come on home turf. There has not been a goalless draw in this fixture since 2009.

Newcastle United Premier League form: WLDWLD
Newcastle United form (all competitions): WDDWLD

Everton Premier League form: WWWWDL
Everton form (all competitions): WWWWDL



Team News

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on September 30, 2020© Reuters

Newcastle captain Jamaal Lascelles is a doubt for the game after being forced off against Wolves with a foot injury.

However the midfield trio of Sean Longstaff, Matty Longstaff and Isaac Hayden are back available after spending time on the sidelines.

That should allow Miguel Almiron and Ryan Fraser to play further up the field, although Fraser may be rested as Steve Bruce continues to carefully manage the Scot's fitness.

This is the only game that Lucas Digne will miss after his suspension was reduced from three matches. Teenager Niels Nkounkou is expected to make his Premier League debut in his place at left-back.

Richarlison is still banned, while Carlo Ancelotti has confirmed that James Rodriguez will be left out to solve a "little problem" ahead of Manchester United's visit to Goodison Park next weekend.

Jonjoe Kenny is fit again after an ankle injury and is contention to start at right-back after Ben Godfrey struggled last week in Seamus Coleman's absence.

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Darlow; Schar, Lascelles, Fernandez; Murphy, Hendrick, Hayden, Lewis; Almiron, Wilson, Saint-Maximin

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Kenny, Mina, Keane, Nkounkou; Doucoure, Allan, Gomes; Bernard, Calvert-Lewin, Iwobi


SM words green background

We say: Newcastle United 1-2 Everton

Both sides are vulnerable defensively so goals are likely in this one. Newcastle's home form is a little worrying and even though Everton will miss the influence of Rodriguez, the Toffees should still come out on top as they aim to get back on track after two games without a win.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Everton?

Newcastle United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Everton
0.0%
1
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Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured on September 30, 2020
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
7Aston Villa125431919019
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Fulham125341717018
10Brentford125252222017
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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