Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.63% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.