Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.84% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.04%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.