NIFL Premiership
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lewis Barr 5' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 21' goal
  • Callumn Morrison 50' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 56' yellowcard
  • Callumn Morrison 71' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Williamson 19'
  • yellowcard Evan Easton 25'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 74'

Linfield vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Larne 0 - 0 Linfield
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matthew Fitzpatrick

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 4 Portadown
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Fraser Bryden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.84% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 10.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.04%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%) , while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Linfield 70.25%
Draw 18.84%
Crusaders 10.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.34%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.49%
Under 2.5 47.52%
Over 3.5 30.28%
Under 3.5 69.72%
Over 4.5 14.86%
Under 4.5 85.14%

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5 87.69%
Under 0.5 12.31%
Over 1.5 61.9%
Under 1.5 38.1%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 49.42%
Under 0.5 50.58%
Over 1.5 14.95%
Under 1.5 85.06%

Score analysis

Linfield 70.25%
Draw 18.84%
Crusaders 10.91%
Linfield
2-0 @ 13.66%
1-0 @ 13.04%
3-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 4.99%
4-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.22%
5-0 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 70.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 3.17%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.84%
Crusaders
0-1 @ 4.25%
1-2 @ 3.03%
0-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 10.91%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Oct 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE
  • Chris McKee 45'+1' goal
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Robbie McDaid 2' goal
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 60' goal
  • Kieran Offord 71' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 37'
  • yellowcard Harry Franklin 65'
  • goal Jay Boyd 78'
  • yellowcard Lewis Barr 82'
  • yellowcard 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 31
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Jonny Tuffey 12' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 55' yellowcard
  • Harry Jewitt-White 61' yellowcard
  • Robbie Weir 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Archer 55'
  • yellowcard Matthew Orr 63'
  • goal Matthew Orr 72'
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 85'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 6
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Windsor Park
  • Joel Cooper 7' goal
  • Joel Cooper 11' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 29' yellowcard
  • Chris McKee 45' goal
  • Matthew Orr 50' yellowcard
  • Josh Archer 85' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Ross Clarke 10'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 70'
  • yellowcard Harry Jewitt-White 76'
  • yellowcard Jordan Forsythe 90'+1'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • Jimmy Callacher 26' yellowcard
  • Jordan Stewart 58' goal
  • Harry Franklin 61' yellowcard
  • Jordan Stewart 72' yellowcard
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 79' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Callacher 90'+4' goal
  • goal Kyle McClean 40'
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 62'
  • goal Kyle McClean 86'
  • yellowcard Matt Fitzpatrick 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Seaview
  • Philip Lowry 28' yellowcard
  • Daniel Larmour 37' yellowcard
  • Jordan Owens 51' yellowcard
  • Jordan Owens 56' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 58' yellowcard
  • Robbie Weir 78' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 86' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Cooper 32'
  • yellowcard Joel Cooper 48'
  • yellowcard Ben Hall 53'
  • yellowcard Matt Fitzpatrick 65'
  • yellowcard Jamie Mulgrew 81'
  • goal Danny Finlayson 90'+3' (OG)