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Norwich logo
Premier League | Gameweek 35
Jul 11, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
West Ham logo

Norwich
0 - 4
West Ham

FT(HT: 0-2)
Antonio (11', 45+1', 54', 74')

Preview: Norwich City vs. West Ham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Norwich City and West Ham United, including team news and predicted lineups.

West Ham United will be looking to boost their Premier League survival hopes and all but relegate Norwich City in the process in Saturday lunchtime's clash at Carrow Road.

The Hammers are four points above the relegation zone following a mixed run of form, while Norwich are 10 points from safety with four games to play.


Match preview

Andriy Yarmolenko celebrates scoring for West Ham United against Chelsea on July 1, 2020© Reuters

Last week's impressive 3-2 win over London rivals Chelsea, secured through a late strike from Andriy Yarmalenko, was supposed to have kickstarted West Ham's campaign.

However, a 2-2 draw against Newcastle United four days later was a case of an opportunity lost, with United twice squandering a lead against opponents with little left to play for.

Then came Wednesday's 1-0 home loss to Burnley - Jay Rodriguez's fine header shortly before half time condemning the Hammers to a fourth defeat in six matches.

Thankfully for United, the teams below them have also struggled to pick up points since last month's restart, so there is still a four-point buffer on Aston Villa.

The Villans, as well as Bournemouth who are also on 27 points, have games in hand to play against Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur respectively on Thursday.

There is no doubt that David Moyes's side are still very much in a relegation battle following their midweek reverse to Burnley, with four big matches to come.

Norwich City boss Daniel Farke on June 24, 2020© Reuters

United have Norwich, Watford and Aston Villa to face in their four remaining games - three of only four teams currently below them in the table - plus a trip to in-form Man Utd.

It is now effectively a battle between four teams for the two remaining relegation spots given that Norwich have already accepted their fate.

The Canaries are rock bottom of the division, as they have been since pre-Christmas, and need to win all four of their remaining matches to have any realistic hope of staying up.

With trips to Chelsea and Manchester City still to come, it is fair to say that Championship football will be returning to Carrow Road next season.

Daniel Farke's men are now playing for pride, and this visit of West Ham does at least offer them a chance to register just a sixth victory of a disappointing campaign.

Four of those wins have come at home, giving City the worst home record in the top flight.

Norwich City's Premier League form: LLLLLL
Norwich City's form (all competitions): LLLLLL

West Ham's Premier League form: LLLWDL


Team News

Todd Cantwell celebrates scoring for Norwich City on March 4, 2020© Reuters

Norwich have been plagued by injury issues all season and remain without Sam Byram, Grant Hanley, Christoph Zimmermann and Moritz Leitner for Saturday's clash.

Star man Todd Cantwell, who looks destined to stay in the Premier League next season regardless of City's fate, missed the 2-1 defeat to Watford and remains a big injury doubt.

Onel Hernandez registered an assist at Vicarage Road and is expected to retain his place out wide should Farke stick with a 4-2-3-1 system.

West Ham welcomed record signing Sebastien Haller back from injury for the final half an hour of their midweek loss to Burnley.

The striker is now in contention to return to the starting lineup here, though Michail Antonio has performed well through the middle in recent games.

Mark Noble is pushing for inclusion after spending the past two matches on the bench, but Robert Snodgrass and Felipe Anderson are both out.

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Krul; Aarons, Klose, Godfrey, Lewis; Vrancic, McLean; Buendia, Stiepermann, Hernandez; Pukki

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Fredericks, Diop, Ogbonna, Cresswell; Soucek, Rice, Noble; Yarmolenko, Antonio, Bowen


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Norwich City 0-1 West Ham United

Norwich have lost all six matches in all competitions since football returned last month, losing those games by an aggregate 13-2 scoreline. West Ham can take another step towards survival with victory against the doomed Canaries, and we are tipping them to edge this weekend's clash in Norfolk.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.


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West Ham United manager David Moyes pictured on July 1, 2020
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