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Nottingham Forest logo
Championship | Gameweek 40
Jul 1, 2020 at 6pm UK
City Ground
Bristol City

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Bristol City

Silva (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Weimann (45+4'), Vyner (84')

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Bristol City - predictions, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Bristol City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Bristol City will be looking to get their Championship promotion prospects back on track when they travel to Nottingham Forest on Wednesday evening.

The Robins have lost back-to-back matches since the restart and are now down in 12th, whereas Forest have taken four points from six to bolster their top-six hopes.


Match preview

Nottingham Forest's Tiago Silva celebrates scoring their first goal on February 25, 2020© Reuters

City have made a habit of fading away when the going gets tough, none more so than this time around, having slipped from fourth in December to their current position of 12th.

Lee Johnson's men went five games without a win prior to the three-month hiatus and have lost to Blackburn Rovers and Sheffield Wednesday since returning to action.

Speaking after the 2-1 reverse to Sheffield Wednesday - their fifth loss in seven winless matches - Johnson accused certain players of not doing their jobs properly.

The Robins now find themselves exactly midway in the table, eight points off sixth-placed Cardiff City with only nine matches to go.

Forest have been in far better form than their opponents either side of the coronavirus-enforced break, losing only one of their last seven matches.

Bristol City manager Lee Johnson pictured on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Automatic promotion looks out of the question for the Reds given the seven-point gap on West Bromwich Albion, but Sabri Lamouchi will certainly not be ruling anything out.

More importantly, Forest have a seven-point buffer on the chasing pack in the race to finish in the top six after seeing off Huddersfield Town 3-1 at the weekend.

Despite their decent form, though, and the fact that they are fourth in the division, Lamouchi's men have not won consecutive league matches since early January.

Forest have also taken fewer points at home than they have on their travels, but City are winless in their last four away from Ashton Gate.

The Robins were 1-0 winners on their most recent visit to the City Ground and are seeking consecutive away wins in this fixture for the first time in a century.

Indeed, City have lost just one of their last 10 league meetings with Forest - a 1-0 loss in January 2017 - so this may be just the fixture for the visitors to revive their season.

Nottingham Forest's Championship form: DWDLDW

Bristol City's Championship form: LLDDLL


Team News

Lewis Grabban celebrates after he scores Nottingham Forest's first goal on January 22, 2020© Reuters

Lamouchi has a full group of players to choose from ahead of this match, so it may well be a case of sticking with the same lineup from the Huddersfield match.

However, Ryan Yates scored as a second-half substitute in that game and could be given the nod in this one in place of Brennan Johnson.

Lewis Grabban scored Forest's other two goals against Huddersfield and now has 19 for the season, just four behind the Championship's joint-leading goalscorers Aleksandar Mitrovic and Ollie Watkins.

City welcomed Adam Nagy back from injury at the weekend and now have a full complement of players to choose from.

Johnson looks likely to rotate after criticising his players, though, meaning that Niclas Eliasson and Famara Diedhiou are in line for recalls.

Striker Nahki Wells has scored 18 goals in all competitions this season - not since 2013-14 has he netted more in a single campaign.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Cash, Figueiredo, Worrall, Ribeiro; Yates, Watson; Lolley, Silva, Ameobi; Grabban

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Hunt, Williams, Baker, Dasilva; Weimann, Smith, Massengo, Eliasson; Diedhiou, Wells


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bristol City

City may be badly out of form, but they tend to do well in this fixture. Forest also struggle when it comes to stringing together victories, so we are tipping this one to finish all square.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.


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Lewis Grabban celebrates after he scores Nottingham Forest's first goal on January 22, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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