MX23RW : Monday, December 16 13:56:23| >> :120:58745:58745:
[monks data]
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

FT(HT: 0-1)
Garner (33')

Preview: Derby County vs. Nottingham Forest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Derby County and Nottingham Forest meet in the East Midlands derby on Friday night with both clubs looking to move into the mid-table positions of the Championship standings.

Both clubs have won four of their last six fixtures, a considerable improvement after spending much of the campaign occupying places in and around the relegation zone.


Match preview

Derby County manager Wayne Rooney pictured on February 13, 2021© Reuters

At the turn of the year, Wayne Rooney and Chris Hughton would have felt justified in believing that their respective clubs would still be in a battle to avoid the drop come their next meeting.

While Derby and Forest will still have concerns about an unforeseen period in League One, they now have every reason to believe that they should still be aiming high during the final months of the current campaign.

Forest sit 10 points clear of the bottom three, two points ahead of their next opponents, but there are also just 10 points separating the Reds and the playoffs.

With just 14 matches remaining, achieving a top-six spot is realistically out of the question, although that will not stop Hughton and his squad wanting to maintain their recent form.

Nottingham Forest manager Chris Hughton pictured in December 2020© Reuters

As well as 13 points coming from their most recent six fixtures, collecting 26 points from 14 matches has gone somewhat under the radar, partly due to the presence of Rooney at Pride Park.

On the back of Derby's 2-0 win over Huddersfield Town in midweek, it has been well documented that the England legend has guided the Rams to 31 points from 18 games.

With Rotherham United still possessing a game in hand, Rooney will be wary of getting drawn into discussions regarding the future progression of his squad.

Nevertheless, both managers should be receiving plaudits in equal measure as they look to build some momentum ahead of a promotion bid next season.

While Forest have conceded just two goals in seven league matches, Derby ended a four-match wait for a clean sheet with the shutout against Huddersfield.

Derby County Championship form: WLWWLW

Nottingham Forest Championship form: WWDLWW


Team News

Nottingham Forest's Ryan Yates celebrates after scoring their first goal against Rotherham in the Championship on February 23, 2021© Reuters

The short turnaround is likely to lead to Hughton making a number of changes to his Forest XI.

Yuri Ribeiro, James Garner and Alex Mighten will all expect to feature after dropping down to the substitutes' bench for the game with Rotherham United in midweek.

Having been versatile with his tactics in recent matches, Rooney may revert back to a 4-2-3-1 formation for this contest.

That could see Kamil Jozwiak and Martyn Waghorn return to the team in place of George Edmundson and Lee Gregory.

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Byrne, Wisdom, Clarke, Buchanan; Bird, Shinnie; Waghorn, Knight, Jozwiak; Kazim-Richards

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Christie, Figueiredo, Worrall, Ribeiro; Garner, Cafu; Knockaert, Krovinovic, Mighten; Murray


SM words green background

We say: Derby County 1-1 Nottingham Forest

With sustained improvement on the line as well as pride, we expect a highly-competitive fixture between two teams on the up. However, both managers would take avoiding defeat at this stage of the campaign, and a low-scoring draw is the most likely result.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:436511:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7226:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.43%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Derby vs Nott'm Forest

Derby County
49.3%
Draw
28.5%
Nottingham Forest
22.2%
144
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray pictured in January 2021
Read Next:
Blackburn manager Tony Mowbray remains upbeat despite losing run
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!