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[monks data]
Oman national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Feb 1, 2022 at 4pm UK
Sultan Qaboos Sport Complex
Australia national football team

Oman
2 - 2
Australia

Fawaz (54', 89' pen.)
Durbein (4'), Al Rashidi (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
MacLaren (15' pen.), Mooy (79')
Karacic (63')

Preview: Oman vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Oman and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to move into the automatic qualification places in Group B of the World Cup qualifiers, Australia square off against Oman at the Sultan Qaboos Sports Complex on Tuesday.

The Reds, who are currently fourth in the group standings, will head into the game desperate to get one over the visitors having failed to win any of the last five meetings between the sides since 2011.


Match preview

Oman players applaud fans after the match on January 27, 2022© Reuters

Oman suffered a huge blow in their hunt for a place in Qatar later this year when they fell to a slender 1-0 defeat at the hands of Saudi Arabia last Thursday.

In a cagey affair at the King Abdullah Sports City, Branko Ivankovic's men were made to rue their wasteful display in front of goal as Firas Albirakan scored three minutes into the second half to hand the hosts all three points.

This followed a decent run in the Arab Cup, where they picked up four points from three games to finish second in Group A before suffering a 2-1 defeat at the hands of North African side Tunisia back in December.

Oman have now failed to win all but one of their last seven games across all competitions — losing four and picking up two draws — with a 3-0 victory over Bahrain on December 6 being the only exception.

This has been owing to their struggles at the defensive end of the pitch, where they have failed to keep a clean sheet in six of those games while conceding eight goals, with their luck at the opposite end of their pitch not any better.

Oman coach Branko Ivankovic on January 27, 2022© Reuters

Having picked up seven points from seven games, the Reds are currently fourth in Group B, seven points off Australia in the qualification playoff spot and two points above fifth-placed China.

With just three qualifying games left to play, Oman must avoid dropping more points to keep their slender qualification hopes alive and end their wait to make a first-ever World Cup appearance.

However, next up is the stern test of taking on an opposing side who are unbeaten in eight of the last nine meetings between the teams since 2009, claiming six wins and two draws in that time.

Australia, on the other hand, continued their charge for an automatic qualification ticket when they cruised to an emphatic 4-0 victory over Vietnam last time out.

Marco Tilio of Australia celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on July 22, 2021© Reuters

In a one-sided affair at the Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Jamie MacLaren, Tom Rogic, Craig Goodwin and Riley McGree were all on target to hand the hosts all three points and hand the Golden Star Warriors their seventh defeat in seven group outings.

Prior to that, Graham Arnold's men were on a three-name winless run, losing 2-1 at the hands of Australia on October 13 before playing out successive draws with Saudi Arabia and China respectively in November.

Australia head into Tuesday's game unbeaten in all but one of their last 15 games across all competitions, picking up an impressive 12 wins and two draws in that time.

The Socceroos are currently five points off Group B leaders Saudi Arabia and one behind second-placed Japan, and with three games left, they will feel confident in their chances of maintaining this fine form and clinching an automatic slot in Qatar.

Australia boast five appearances at the World Cup, with their most recent being in Russia four years ago, when they crashed out in the group stages after picking up just one point from three games to finish rock bottom in Group C.

Oman World Cup Qualifying - Asia form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Oman form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Australia World Cup Qualifying - Asia form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W


Team News

Australia coach Graham Arnold on July 22, 2021© Reuters

Despite their defeat against Saudi Arabia, we expect Ivankovic to name a similar starting lineup, meaning we could see a back four of Amjad Al Harthi, Ahmed Al Khamisi, Fahmi Said Rajab Durbein and Moutaz Saleh.

Further up the pitch, Arshad Al Alawi and Abdullah Fawaz should start at the centre of the park, while Harib Al Saadi is a major doubt after coming off with a 66th-minute injury in the aforementioned game.

Should the Al Khor midfielder fail to recover in time for the game, his replacement 23-year-old Zaher Al Aghbari could come into the starting XI for the first time since November's game against Japan.

Meanwhile, Rogic put on a clinic against Vietnam last time out, when he scored one and created one, and we expect to see the Celtic midfielder at the heart of the midfield.

MacLaren has picked up where he dropped off in the A-League last season, scoring five goals in eight outings, and the Melbourne City man should spearhead the attack once again.

Having missed the game against Vietnam through accumulated yellow card bookings, Ajdin Hrustic is back available for selection and the Eintracht Frankfurt man could come into the Socceroos midfield.

Oman possible starting lineup:
Al-Mukhaini; Al Harthi, Al Khamisi, Durbein, Saleh; Fawaz, A.Al-Alawi, Al-Yahyaei; Aghbari, M Al-Alawi; Al-Hajri

Australia possible starting lineup:
Ryan; Grant, Sainsbury, Degenek, King; Hrustic, Rogic; Boyle, Mooy, Leckie; MacLaren


SM words green background

We say: Oman 0-3 Australia

Buoyed by their win over Vietnam last time out, Australia will head into the game with renewed confidence and will look to keep the juggernaut rolling and move into the automatic qualification places. The Socceroos have won each of the last three meetings between the sides, while they are unbeaten in the last five, and we are tipping them to extend their dominance and come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Oman had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Oman vs Australia

Oman
8.3%
Draw
5.6%
Australia
86.1%
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