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Orlando City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40
Oct 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Montreal Impact

Orlando City
1 - 1
Montreal

Mueller (45')
Rosell (30'), Schlegel (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Camacho (51')
Sunusi (90+1')

Preview: Orlando City vs. CF Montreal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to pick up a third consecutive MLS victory, Orlando City welcome CF Montreal to the Exploria Stadium on Thursday.

On the other hand, the visitors make the journey in search of what would be only their fourth away triumph all-season long.


Match preview

Orlando City SC head coach Oscar Pareja walks off the field at the end of the game against FC Cincinnati at TQL Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Orlando City eased past FC Cincinnati in a narrow 1-0 victory at the TQL on Sunday to end a nine-game winless run on the road.

The contest was decided in the 13th minute when Junior Urso netted his fourth goal of the campaign to hand Oscar Pareja's men all three points.

While the Lions remain fourth in the Eastern Conference, they have now closed the gap on second-placed Nashville SC to three points.

Next up for them is a clash versus an opposing side who they have beaten in four of the last five meetings between the teams.

However, Thursday's hosts suffered a 4-2 defeat - the second of a four-game losing streak - in the most recent encounter last month and will be keen to get one over their visitors this time around.

CF Montreal head coach Wilfred Nancy watches the play during the second half at Stade Saputo on October 16, 2021© Reuters

CF Montreal had to settle for a share of the spoils in their clash versus Philadelphia Union on Saturday, which ended 2-2.

Wilfried Nancy's men took the lead in the 33rd minute through Matko Miljevic but found themselves behind thanks to a second-half own goal from James Pantemis and a Kai Wagner strike, only for Sunusi Ibrahim to restore parity in the final minute of added time.

The Impact have dropped to seventh in the Eastern Conference and are now just a point above the chasing pack in the race for the last playoff spot.

Having lost half of their 14 games on the road this term, Thursday's visitors need to get going on their travels to avoid missing out in the postseason.

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

CF Montreal Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

CF Montreal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Orlando City SC midfielder Nani (17) reacts after scoring a goal against FC Cincinnati in the second half at TQL Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Montreal's duo of Robert Thorkelsson and Ahmed Hamdi are down with groin injuries and will play no part in this one.

The visitors will also be without the services of Mason Toye and Aljaz Struna who are out with shoulder and calf problems respectively.

Robin Jansson has found the back of the net in each of his last two home appearances for the hosts and will be looking to come up trumps once again.

Alexandre Pato was an unused substitute last time out, as the Brazilian continues to be eased slowly into action following his recent recovery from injury.

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Gallese; Mas, Jansson, Antonio, Ruan; Urso, Perea, Pereyra; Nani, Dike, Mueller

CF Montreal possible starting lineup:
Pantemis; Miller, Camacho, Waterman; Choiniere, Piette, Maciel, Brault-Guillard; Torres, Mihailovic, Miljevic


SM words green background

We say: Orlando City 2-1 CF Montreal

Orlando City have dominated this fixture in recent years and will fancy themselves to come away with all three points against their visitors, who have been dire away from home this term. We are tipping the home side to come out on top but only after they have been pushed all the way.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Orlando City vs Montreal

Orlando City
87.9%
Draw
9.1%
CF Montreal
3.0%
33
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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