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[monks data]
Emmen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
JenS Vesting
PEC Zwolle

Emmen
3 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Adzic (36'), de Leeuw (45+2'), Vlak (70')
Bijl (26'), Cavlan (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
van Polen (43'), Nakayama (88')
Lam (23')

Preview: Emmen vs. PEC Zwolle - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Still in search of their first league victory of the season, bottom club Emmen welcome PEC Zwolle to the De Oude Meerdijk on Saturday.

On the other hand, the visitors are going through a mini-dry spell at the moment, having not won any of their last four league games, and picking up only three points from a possible 12.


Match preview

Emmen suffered their fourth league defeat in a row, and their eighth in the last 10 games when they were beaten 1-0 by RKC Waalwijk on Friday.

With each passing week, the chances of them dropping into the second tier of Dutch football keep getting bigger and frankly, it is hard to envisage a turnaround at this point.

Dick Lukkien's men have picked up only six points from their opening 22 league games, but one of them came in December's reverse fixture at the Mac3Park Stadion.

Overall, the hosts have not had the best of this fixture with only two wins from the last 16 meetings dating back to 2008.

Furthermore, they are also yet to win a home game versus Saturday's visitors in that time, and now is as good a time as any to break that particular duck.

Zwolle have been in poor form since the turn of the year, having picked up only one win from their nine league outings so far.

John Stegeman's men began the year in 11th position, but they have since dropped to 13th in the Eredivisie table following a 1-0 loss to Groningen on Saturday.

However, the Blauwvingers are just six points away from the top half as things stand, and they could still end up there if they get their act together once again.

One major department that needs fixing is their defensive doggedness away from home as only three teams in the entire division have let in more goals on the road than Saturday's visitors.

Emmen Eredivisie form: LDLLLL
Emmen form (all competitions): LDLLLL

PEC Zwolle Eredivisie form: LWDDDL


Team News

Caner Cavlan hobbled off due to a knock midway through the second half of Emmen's loss to AZ Alkmaar and as a result, he is ruled out for this match.

Luciano Carty, Lentini Caciano and Marko Kolar will all be absent for the game, but Dick Lukkien could have them back for his side's trip to Utrecht.

Pelle Clement will miss the first of three games following his sending-off against Groningen, while Bram van Polen will be serving the final match of his suspension after he was red carded at Utrecht a few weeks ago.

Kenneth Paal made his return from a knee injury last time out, but he might have to make do with a substitute appearance once again as he works his way back to full fitness.

However, Mike van Duinen and Slobodan Tedic will not be featuring in this one as they continue to deal with ankle and rib injuries respectively.

Emmen possible starting lineup:
Verrips; Araujo, Bakker, Veendorp, Bijl; Bernadou, Vlak, Pena; Ben Moussa, Avdijaj, De Leeuw

PEC Zwolle possible starting lineup:
Zetterer; Nakayama, Lam, Strieder, Wermeskerken; Huiberts, Lam, Reijnders; Pherai, Buitink, Misidjan


SM words green background

We say: Emmen 0-1 PEC Zwolle

Zwolle will back themselves to pick up all three points against a winless Emmen side, whose search for a maiden victory is likely to go on for another week.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Emmen vs PEC Zwolle

Emmen
15.4%
Draw
7.7%
PEC Zwolle
76.9%
13
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6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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