Peterborough United take on Accrington Stanley in League One on Saturday, with the hosts requiring a victory to guarantee remaining in the automatic promotion places.
Accrington, meanwhile, could move level on points with sixth-placed Blackpool with a victory depending on results elsewhere.
Match preview
© Reuters
Having been cruelly denied a playoff position via a points-per-game ruling after last season was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, everyone connected to Peterborough is ultra determined to gain promotion to the Championship this season.
After an inconsistent opening to the campaign, perhaps in part due to the sale of Ivan Toney to Brentford, it did not take long for Darren Ferguson's side to gather serious momentum, taking 22 points from 24 games during one superb run earlier in the campaign and more recently winning six matches in a row.
However, the Posh's positive results have ground to a halt since, winning only one of their last six games to allow Sunderland to move within two points of them with a game in hand.
Ferguson's side squandered a two-goal lead at struggling Rochdale last weekend before losing 3-1 to Blackpool in midweek, with concerns of falling short of promotion once again beginning to grow.
They are unlikely to find matters easier against Accrington on Saturday, but will be buoyed by having won 13 of their 17 home league games so far this season.
© Reuters
Having survived relegation in their first two seasons in the third tier in the club's entire history, Accrington have performed above expectations this season, generally occupying a top-half position throughout the campaign.
Indeed, John Coleman has worked wonders at the club since taking over as manager in September 2014, gradually improving the quality of the playing staff and club facilities on the way to winning League Two in the 2017-18 season.
To even have Accrington fans in the position of dreaming of promotion to the Championship is an incredible achievement for a club of their size, although that dream has become a less realistic one in recent weeks, having only won three of their last 13 league games.
However, one of those victories came last weekend against struggling Wigan Athletic, keeping Accrington within three points of the playoff positions.
Of the sides above them, only Doncaster Rovers and Blackpool have played one fewer game, too, with Charlton Athletic, Gillingham and Oxford United all having played more, so completing a league double Peterborough on Saturday really could make the unthinkable become thinkable once again.
- D
- L
- L
- W
- D
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- W
Team News
© Reuters
Siriki Dembele is thought to be nursing a slight muscle problem, but started both games in the past week so should be fit to do so once again, while Harrison Burrows and Sammie Szmodics are both fit for selection for Peterborough once again.
Jack Taylor (hamstring) and Ronnie Edwards (thigh) are both likely to miss out.
Accrington, meanwhile, are likely to travel without Colby Bishop, Joe Pritchard and Seamus Conneely due to injury.
Dion Charles is not available for selection either due to being on international duty with Northern Ireland, so Paul Smyth should come into the attack.
Peterborough United possible starting lineup:
Pym; Kent, Thompson, Beevers; Ward, Brown, Hamilton, Butler; Szmodics, Dembele; Clarke-Harris
Accrington Stanley possible starting lineup:
Savin; Nottingham, Hughes, Burgess; Rodgers, Barclay, Morgan, Butcher, Maguire; Smyth, McConville
We say: Peterborough United 2-0 Accrington Stanley
We expect Peterborough to put their recent drop in form aside on Saturday with a comfortable home win.
Accrington always battle hard and we would expect no different, but the Posh's home record is superb this campaign and they have the quality to put their opponents to the sword.
Top tip
Brett Curtis
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
