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[monks data]
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Bolton logo

Plymouth
3 - 0
Bolton

Galloway (6'), Grant (15'), Broom (90+4')
Galloway (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bakayoko (12'), Afolayan (50'), Lee (54')

Preview: Plymouth Argyle vs. Bolton Wanderers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Plymouth Argyle will look to maintain their position at the top of the League One table on Tuesday, when they welcome Bolton Wanderers to Home Park.

The hosts recorded a second straight league victory on Saturday, while their visitors will look to bounce back from a heavy defeat to Wigan Athletic.


Match preview

Ian Evatt pictured in May 2018© Reuters

After a somewhat underwhelming 18th-placed finish in England's third tier last season, Plymouth Argyle set about a push for the top six at the beginning of the new term, and they have enjoyed a notably strong start.

Having won seven of their opening 13 league games while only losing one, the Pilgrims currently sit at the summit of the division with 26 points, leading heavily-fancied Wycombe Wanderers on goal difference.

Following consecutive disappointing draws with Crewe Alexandra and Lincoln City, Ryan Lowe's side took top spot with a 2-1 home win over Burton Albion, as Conor Grant and Ryan Broom hit first-half goals.

They made it back-to-back league wins on Saturday as a Jordon Garrick goal and a Panutche Camara brace saw them overturn an early one-goal deficit to hand Oxford United a 3-1 defeat.

Currently leading the pack with an unmatched tally of 22 league goals, Lowe's men will be keen to maintain their position with what would be a third straight league win on Tuesday, although they take on a Bolton side desperate to bounce back from a crushing defeat.

The Trotters enjoyed a commendable start to the new campaign, collecting 18 points from the opening 11 games to sit comfortably in the top half.

However, back-to-back wins for Ian Evatt's men over Charlton Athletic and Shrewsbury Town have since been followed by consecutive defeats heading into Tuesday's trip.

The Lancashire outfit were handed their fourth league loss of the campaign when Lee Gregory made the difference in a 1-0 home win for Sheffield Wednesday last week, before they suffered a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Wigan Athletic on Saturday.

Will Keane put the Latics ahead in the first 10 minutes, before James McLean starred with a brace alongside a Callum Lang goal in a dominant performance for the visitors.

Having now dropped to 10th spot in the third tier, Evatt's men will look to bounce back to winning ways on Tuesday to begin climbing back towards the top six.

Plymouth Argyle League One form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Plymouth Argyle form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Bolton Wanderers League One form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Bolton Wanderers form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Wigan Athletic's Ben Amos in action with Bolton Wanderers' Eoin Doyle on October 16, 2021© Reuters

Given his side's impressive form, Ryan Lowe could deploy an unchanged Plymouth starting XI for Tuesday's clash.

However, there is heated competition for attacking spots, with Jordon Garrick expected to keep his place after scoring last time out, while Luke Jephcott and Ryan Hardie have netted four and eight League One goals respectively so far this season.

The Pilgrims have tended to prefer a back three, with Macauley Gillesphey, Dan Scarr and James Wilson handling business at the defensive end of the pitch.

On the contrary to their opponents, Bolton may look to make some changes to inspire a turnaround after Saturday's thrashing.

Lloyd Isgrove and Elias Kachunga will both be pushing to return to the starting XI in the wide areas, while experienced forward Eoin Doyle should continue to lead the line.

Twenty-year-old midfielder George Thomason may also be brought in to refresh the engine room.

Plymouth Argyle possible starting lineup:
Cooper; Gillesphey, Scarr, Wilson; Edwards, Camara, Houghton, Broom, Grant; Garrick, Hardie

Bolton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Dixon; Brockbank, Santos, Johnston, Gordon; Sheehan, Thomason; Kachunga, Sarcevic, Isgrove; Doyle


SM words green background

We say: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Bolton Wanderers

Given the contrasting runs of form of the two sides, we can only see Plymouth adding another victory to their record on Tuesday.

The Pilgrims have been formidable going forward, and we do not expect an out-of-sorts Bolton side to stop them in their tracks.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:467589:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9961:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Plymouth vs Bolton

Plymouth Argyle
76.7%
Draw
14.0%
Bolton Wanderers
9.3%
43
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