Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 2-1 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.