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Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Braga

Portimonense
0 - 0
Braga


Beto (14'), Possignolo (35'), Boa Morte (41'), Willyan (90+2')
FT

Preview: Portimonense vs. Braga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Portimonense will look to avoid dropping into the bottom three of the Primeira Liga table on the final day of the regular league season on Wednesday, as they play host to fourth-placed Braga.

A defeat on the final day, coupled with a win for Rio Ave and a result for Boavista, would see Paulo Sergio's side fall into the relegation playoff place, resulting in them going into another battle to avoid dropping to the second tier.


Match preview

Braga head coach Carlos Carvalhal pictured in December 2020© Reuters

The hosts come into this game having failed to confirm their safety due to three consecutive defeats in the Portuguese top flight.

They suffered a harmful 1-0 loss at home to fellow strugglers Boavista last time out, as defender Jackson Porozo netted the only goal of the game in the final 15 minutes to snatch all three points for the visitors.

That saw Boavista move just one point behind Portimonense, while Paulo Sergio's side sit three points above Rio Ave in the relegation playoff place and Farense in the automatic drop zone going into the final day of the season.

Due to the Primeira Liga's priority on head-to-head results, the Algarve side are safe from the automatic drop thanks to their win over Farense earlier in the season, but two losses to Boavista and a draw and a defeat to Rio Ave this season means that they will finish in the relegation playoff place if they are to lose and Boavista avoid defeat and Rio Ave win.

With a three-point lead over Rio Ave, the task is simple for Sergio's men, as they simply need to avoid defeat on Wednesday to move out of reach of the 15th-placed side.

That is by no means a straightforward task though, as they welcome a Braga side who have finished comfortably in fourth spot thanks to an impressive league campaign.

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

Braga returned to winning ways last time out, as they defeated 10th-placed Moreirense 2-1 at home on Friday.

Abel Ruiz put Os Arcebispos ahead on the stroke of half time, but Rafael Martins netted an equaliser in the 87th minute and the game looked set to finish level until Braga were awarded a penalty in the 95th minute, which Joao Novais made no mistake in converting to seal the three points for Carlos Carvalhal's side.

That followed their most inconsistent run of the season, having gone four league games without a victory leading up to that match.

As a result, Carvalhal's men have fallen well behind the top three in the table, eventually finishing in fourth spot with a 13-point lead of their own over fifth-placed Pacos de Ferreira.

While they will be disappointed not to have achieved a top-three finish, Os Arcebispos have bettered last season's points tally of 60 by three points so far, with the chance to take that to a six-point improvement with a victory on the final day, as they look to build momentum going into the Taca de Portugal final against Benfica on Sunday.

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Braga's Francisco Moura celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in November 2020© Reuters

Portimonense's only absentee on Wednesday should be midfielder Lucas Fernandes, who will continue his spell on the sidelines through injury.

Their line will be led by Beto, who has netted an impressive tally of 11 goals in 29 league appearances alongside three assists.

He should be supported by Aylton Boa Morte, who has complimented the young forward well with five goals and four assists in Primeira Liga action this season.

Braga will remain without young winger Iuri Medeiros and centre-back David Carmo through injury, while Francisco Moura is also a doubt.

Midfielder Andre Castro was fit to start last time out after he picked up a worrying knock in the previous game, but he may not be risked with another match in quick succession.

With nothing particularly to play for in the league, combined with the cup final on Sunday, Carvalhal may choose to rotate some of his key players to ensure they are fresh and healthy for Sunday's crucial encounter.

That could potentially see the likes of Castro, Abel Ruiz and captain Fransergio given rests, making way for Lucas Piazon and Joao Novais to feature from the outset.

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Possignolo, Willyan, Antonio; Moufi, Clemente, Fabricio, Sa, Anzai; Boa Morte, Beto

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Esgaio, Tormena, Silva, Sequeira; Novais, Musrati, Horta, Galeno; Piazon, Sporar


SM words green background

We say: Portimonense 1-2 Braga

While Portimonense will battle hard for a result to confirm their survival without having to worry about other results, Braga should have enough to finish the campaign with a victory on Wednesday.

After a disappointing run, the late winner last time out should lift the mood in the Archbishops' camp going into the final day, and they will be desperate to pick up another win as they go into a crucial cup final at the weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Portimonense vs Braga

Portimonense
20.0%
Draw
24.0%
Braga
56.0%
25
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Braga head coach Carlos Carvalhal pictured in December 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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