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Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Gil Vicente logo

Portimonense
4 - 1
Gil Vicente

Antonio (1'), Salmani (33'), Boa Morte (72'), Beto (86')
Possignolo (37'), Moufi (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lino (26' pen.)

Preview: Portimonense vs. Gil Vicente - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Portimonense will host Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga this weekend with both sides heading into the encounter level with 16 points from 18 matches played.

The hosts have won three of their last five home matches, while the visitors are looking to claim back-to-back league victories on the road for the first time this season.


Match preview

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

Portimonense's fears of relegation remain despite picking up a point in a goalless draw away at fifth-placed Pacos de Ferreira on Tuesday evening.

Paulo Sergio's men have won just one of their last six games, and they sit just two points above the relegation zone with Farense, who are currently bottom, still to play their game in hand.

The Alvinegros have relied on their home form to accumulate precious points this campaign, winning three of their last five matches at the Estadio Municipal de Portimao and keeping four clean sheets in the process.

Portimonense beat Gil Vicente 1-0 on home soil last season and another victory on Sunday could move them as high as 11th in the Primeira Liga.

Gil Vicente players Rodrigao and Denis challenge for the ball in July 2020© Reuters

Gil Vicente came close to a surprise victory against Sporting Lisbon on Tuesday evening, but their valiant efforts were unrewarded as the league leaders came from behind in the final seven minutes to snatch all three points from the hosts.

The Roosters have struggled in the league since the turn of the year, accumulating just four points from a possible 21, with their only victory in this period away at Boavista last Friday.

Like Portimonense, Ricardo Soares's men are just two points clear of the drop zone, having won only four of their 18 Primeira Liga matches this campaign.

Gil Vicente can take some confidence into Sunday's clash, having already beaten the Alvinegros 1-0 in September. Another victory against them could see the Roosters climb into the top 10, six points behind Santa Clara, who they face next week, if Daniel Ramos's side were to lose at home to Braga.

Portimonense Primeira Liga form: LWDLLD

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form: LLLLWL
Gil Vicente form (all competitions): LLLLWL


Team News

Portimonense's Dener celebrates scoring against Benfica in June 2020© Reuters

Portimonense are still without central midfielders Lucas Fernandes (anterior cruciate ligament) and Pedro Sa (dislocated elbow) through injury.

Forward Fabricio, who was an unused substitute against Pacos de Ferreira, is set to come back into the starting lineup to play alongside Aylton Boa Morte and Beto.

Gil Vicente have no injury concerns at present and as a result are set to name a strong side for this weekend's match.

Soares will be pleased to have centre-back Ygor Nogueira available, and he is expected to start alongside Rodrigao in defence.

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Possignolo, Lucas, Cande; Ewerton, Willyan, Dener; Boa Morte, Beto, Fabricio

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Denis; Pereira, Nogueira, Rodrigao, Talocha; Mineiro, Afonso, Goncalves; Lourency, Lino, Baraye


SM words green background

We say: Portimonense 1-1 Gil Vicente

Both Portimonense and Gil Vicente will be desperate to secure three points and move away from danger but with little to separate the two teams, a score draw could be on the cards in what is expected to be a tight encounter.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Portimonense vs Gil Vicente

Portimonense
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Gil Vicente
14.3%
7
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Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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