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Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 20, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Porto

Portimonense
1 - 2
Porto

Cande (64')
Dener (26'), Willyan (45+1'), Sergio (67'), Beto (71'), Antonio (71')
Sergio (68'), Sa (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Possignolo (45+1' og.), Portugal Lima (67' og.)
Conceicao (67'), Marchesin (71'), Oliveira (90')
Conceicao (68')

Preview: Portimonense vs. Porto - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Porto will be looking to continue their pursuit of Sporting Lisbon at the top of the Primeira Liga table on Saturday when they travel to the Estadio Municipal de Portimao to take on Portimonense.

Sergio Conceicao's side will have their sights set on a third consecutive league victory, while the hosts will be looking to bounce back from a 2-0 defeat to Santa Clara last time out.


Match preview

Porto head coach Sergio Conceicao pictured on February 17, 2021© Reuters

Portimonense suffered an away defeat last time out, losing 2-0 away at Santa Clara after goals from Rui Costa and Carlos.

Before that, Paulo Sergio's side recorded an impressive victory, as a Beto brace and an Aylton Boa Morte goal fired them to a 3-0 home win over 11th-placed Tondela.

The Algarve outfit now sit in 12th spot in the top flight, thanks to a slight upturn in results which has seen them pick up a commendable tally of eight points from their last six league games.

However, that is by no means a safe position, as they remain just two points ahead of Boavista in the relegation playoff place, and three points above the automatic drop zone.

As a result, any dip in form could see Sergio's men quickly dragged back down into the bottom three, and he will be desperate not to let that happen.

However, they host a Porto side who will be looking to make up ground on the league leaders with another victory on Saturday.

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

Porto recorded a second consecutive league victory last time out, as Pepe and Sergio Oliveira fired them to a 2-0 home win over fifth-placed Pacos de Ferreira.

Before that, the Portuguese giants secured their place in the final eight of the Champions League with an aggregate victory over Juventus on away goals, having won the first leg 2-1 at home.

Oliveira doubled their lead with a penalty after 19 minutes, but a Federico Chiesa brace took the game to extra time, and the task looked especially tough for Porto after Mehdi Taremi was shown a red card.

Oliveira then scored a free kick in extra time to get a second away goal for his side, and Adrien Rabiot's header soon after was not enough for the Italian side to overcome the away goals advantage, with Porto advancing through as a result.

Conceicao will now turn his attention firmly back to domestic action, as the Dragoes look to reduce the 10-point gap between themselves and Sporting Lisbon at the summit of the top flight.

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L

Porto Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Porto form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Porto's Antonio Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Portimonense will be without midfielder Ewerton for this game, after he picked up his fifth yellow card of the season last time out, triggering a one-match suspension for the Brazilian.

New recruit Giannelli Imbula remains ineligible to play for his new team.

They will also be without Lucas Fernandes, Pedro Sa and Lucas Tagliapietra, with all three players remaining out of contention due to injuries.

Porto have managed to keep their squad in good shape this campaign, with Ivan Marcano remaining the only injury concern.

The centre-back pairing of Pepe and Chancel Mbemba impressed as they ground out the aggregate victory over Juventus in Turin, and they will partner up again at the back on Saturday.

Meanwhile, Sergio Oliveira offers a major attacking threat from midfield, with only Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves and Benfica's Haris Seferovic netting more than his 11 Primeira Liga goals this season.

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Rocha, Antonio, Anzai; Boa Morte, Clemente, Poha, Luquinha, Da Silva; Beto

Porto possible starting lineup:
Marchesin; Manafa, Mbemba, Pepe, Sanusi; Corona, Oliveira, Uribe, Diaz; Taremi, Marega


SM words green background

We say: Portimonense 0-2 Porto

The visitors come into this game in a good patch of form, and we see them having too much quality for Portimonense, even despite their recent upturn in form.

Os Dragoes cannot afford to lose any more ground on Sporting Lisbon, and we think that will drive them to build a strong winning run in the top flight, stretching that to three games with an away victory on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:439811:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10181:
Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Portimonense vs Porto

Portimonense
3.3%
Draw
3.3%
Porto
93.3%
30
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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