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Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Vizela

Porto
4 - 2
Vizela

Evanilson (21'), Taremi (28' pen., 87'), Mbemba (56')
Grujic (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mendez (36'), Moreira (49')
Juliao (2')

Preview: Porto vs. Vizela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of suffering their first league defeat of the season, Porto play host to Vizela at the Estadio do Dragao in round 32 of the Primeira Liga on Saturday.

Sergio Conceicao's side could complete a league double over the Vizelenenses after cruising to an emphatic 4-0 victory when the side met back in December's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Porto's Antonio Martinez celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Porto's early title celebrations were delayed as they suffered their first defeat of the season when they were beaten 1-0 by a spirited Braga side at the Estadio Braga Municipal last Monday.

Despite being in the ascendancy for most of the game, the Dragoes had nothing to show for their dominance as Ricardo Horta scored the only goal of the game to hand Carlos Carvalhal's side all three points.

Prior to that, Sergio Conceicao's side were unbeaten in 58 consecutive Primeira Liga matches, stretching back to a 3-2 defeat at the hands of Pacos de Ferreira back in October 2020.

Porto have now won 26, drawn four and lost one of their 31 games this season to collect 82 points and comfortably sit top of the league standings with a six-point cushion over second-placed Sporting Lisbon.

Vizela's Cassiano celebrates scoring their first goal with Samu on March 11, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, Vizela returned to winning ways as they edged out Arouca 2-1 when the sides squared off at the Estadio do FC Vizela last Friday.

Guilherme Schettine put on a show as the Brazilian forward scored either side of Alan Ruiz's 49th-minute equaliser to condemn the visitors to their 16th loss of the season.

Prior to that, Alvaro Pacheco's side saw their three-game unbeaten run come on April 10, when they were beaten 1-0 by Braga before losing by the same scoreline to last-placed Belenenses six days later.

With 32 points from 31 games, Vizela are currently 13th in the league standings, four points adrift of 10th-placed Santa Clara in the top half of the table with three games left to play.

While the Vizelenses will be looking to pick up successive victories for just the second time this season, next up is an opposing side who have won each of the two meetings between the sides, scoring seven goals and conceding one in that time.

Porto Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Porto form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Vizela Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W


Team News

Porto coach Sergio Conceicao reacts on March 9, 2022© Reuters

Porto will be without the services of Colombian international Mateus Uribe, who picked up a thigh injury in the game against Santa Clara on April 4.

Fellow midfielder Bruno Costa will play no part in Saturday's game after the 25-year-old sustained an injury in March's Europa League clash with Lyon.

Another name on the Dragoes' injury table is Portuguese full-back Wilson Manafa, who has been out of action since last December through a leg problem.

As for Vizela, Pacheco will be unable to call upon Portuguese defender Bruno Wilson, who is set to sit out his sixth consecutive game after picking up a muscle problem back in March.

Marcus Paulo is also out of contention for the Vizelenenses after the 33-year-old midfielder came off injured in the game against Benfica on March 11.

With his brace against Arouca last time out, Schettine now has eight league goals under his belt this season and the Brazilian forward should lead the attack once again, alongside Cassiano and Kiko Bondoso.

Porto possible starting lineup:
D Costa; Sanusi, Pepe, Mbemba, Mario; Vitinha, Grujic, Otavio; Taremi, Vieira, Evanilson

Vizela possible starting lineup:
Silva; Juliao, Anderson, Fernandes, Ofori; Claudemir, Samu, Mendez; Bondoso, Cassiano, Schettine


SM words green background

We say: Porto 2-0 Vizela

Fresh off the back of picking up their first defeat of the season, Porto will look to make an immediate response and return to winning ways to avoid a late upset in their title charge. Conceicao's men take on an inconsistent Vizela side who have managed just three wins on the road this season and we are backing them to come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.52%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 7.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Porto vs Vizela

Porto
95.0%
Draw
0.0%
Vizela
5.0%
20
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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