Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%) , while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.