Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Boavista4 - 1Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Boavista 2-0 Chaves
Boavista's strong start looks set to continue, playing a woefully out-of-form Chaves side on home soil here. Chaves will hope to spring a surprise, but four defeats from four suggests they may struggle against one of the early pace-setters in the Primeira Liga. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
40.94% ( -0.34) | 27.56% ( 0.13) | 31.5% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
