Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.5% | 22.74% | 62.77% |
Both teams to score 42.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% | 55.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.71% | 76.29% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.75% | 49.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.86% | 84.13% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% | 17.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.73% | 47.27% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.96% 2-1 @ 3.73% 2-0 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.7% Total : 14.5% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 14.86% 0-2 @ 13.13% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-3 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-4 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-5 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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