Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sibenik win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hajduk Split in this match.