Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.