Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.