Real Madrid begin their 2020-21 Champions League campaign with a home match against Ukrainian champions Shakhtar Donetsk in a tricky-looking Group B.
Los Blancos suffered a shock first defeat of the domestic season at the weekend and need to quickly pick themselves up against a Shakhtar side unbeaten in five.
Match preview
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After winning the Champions League in three successive seasons between 2016 and 2018, Madrid have now exited the competition in the last-16 stage in back-to-back campaigns.
Last season's early exit at the hands of Manchester City was a tough one to take, but the blow was softened by a first La Liga title in three years.
As ever with Madrid, the target this term will be a clean sweep of honours - La Liga, Champions League and Copa del Rey - but they have made a mixed start to 2020-21 overall.
Zinedine Zidane's drew 0-0 with Real Sociedad in their opening league match and lost 1-0 at home to newly-promoted Cadiz at the weekend, bookending three wins in a row.
Next up for the champions in the league is the small matter of Barcelona away on Saturday, but first they have this potentially tricky tie against Shakhtar to navigate.
The Miners won their domestic league for a fourth season in a row last time out but have been slow off the mark this term, drawing three of their opening six matches.
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However, they thumped Lviv 5-1 last time out in perfect preparation for this trip to the Santiago Bernabeu, where they will be looking to pull off a shock victory.
Madrid have not lost in their last eight meetings at home to Ukrainian opposition since 1999, and won both games against Shakhtar when they last met in the 2015-16 group stage.
A good omen for Shakhtar, perhaps, is that they have lost on matchday one in only two of their last seven Champions League campaigns, albeit with one of those defeats coming against Madrid.
In a group that also contains Inter Milan and Borussia Monchengladbach, Los Blancos will know that they cannot afford to slip up in this opening fixture.
Real Madrid form (all competitions): DWWWL
Shakhtar Donetsk form (all competitions): LDDWDW
Team News
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Zidane rotated his side for the loss to Cadiz and is expected to welcome back some big-hitters on Wednesday, including the likes of Casemiro and Ferland Mendy.
Sergio Ramos was taken off as a precaution at half time on Saturday and seems certain to sit this one out, meaning a possible start for Eder Militao alongside Raphael Varane.
Martin Odegaard, Alvaro Odriozola and Eden Hazard are all out, meanwhile, and Karim Benzema could do with a rest ahead of El Clasico, so Luka Jovic is primed for a rare start.
As for Shakhtar, the availability of key men Junior Moraes and Mykola Matviyenko is unknown, despite serving a period of self-isolation after testing positive for coronavirus.
That could be a big blow for the visitors as Moraes has had a direct hand in eight goals in 12 Champions League games - the most of any player for the club since September 2018.
Maksym Malyshev, Ismaily and Serhii Kryvtsov are definitely out through injury, though, with Dentinho among those in contention to come into the side.
Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Nacho, Varane, Militao, Mendy; Valverde, Casemiro, Kroos; Rodrygo, Jovic, Vinicius
Shakhtar Donetsk possible starting lineup:
Trubin; Dodo, Khocholava, Bondar, Korniienko; Maycon, Patrick; Marlos, Kovalenko, Taison; Dentinho
We say: Real Madrid 2-0 Shakhtar Donetsk
Madrid's focus may well be elsewhere, with a huge league trip to Barcelona on the horizon, but Zidane will know the importance of bouncing back from defeat last time out.
Under-strength Shakhtar have struggled to get wins on the board domestically this term and, on the continent, have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 22 Champions League games.
Even accounting for some changes, Zidane's men should have more than enough firepower to get the job done in this opening Group B clash.
Top betting tip
Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data
Daniel Lewis
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
