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Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 5, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Real Madrid logo

Sevilla
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Gudelj (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bono (55' og.)
Kroos (44'), Modric (60'), Junior (89')

Preview: Sevilla vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Madrid will attempt to bounce back from successive defeats when they travel to Andalusia to face Sevilla in Spain's top flight on Saturday afternoon.

Zinedine Zidane's side - currently fourth in La Liga - have lost their last two matches to Alaves and Shakhtar Donetsk, while fifth-placed Sevilla will also enter the game off the back of a disappointing result, having suffered a 4-0 defeat to Chelsea in the Champions League.


Match preview

Sevilla head coach Julen Lopetegui pictured on November 4, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla had been in excellent form ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Chelsea, recording five straight wins in all competitions, with the run seeing them rise up the La Liga table and book their spot in the knockout round of the European Cup.

Julen Lopetegui's side were brought crashing back down to earth by the Blues, though, with Olivier Giroud scoring all four goals in a thumping win for Frank Lampard's side.

The Europa League winners have won their last three in the league, though, and appear to have recovered from a disappointing run which saw them lose three straight matches between October 17 and October 31.

Five wins, one draw and three defeats - that is how Sevilla have performed in the league this season, picking up 16 points to occupy fifth position, one point behind Madrid with a game in hand.

The hosts will be aiming to pile more misery on Los Blancos, but they have lost each of their last three La Liga games with the capital giants, including a 1-0 defeat in the corresponding match in 2019-20.

Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Zidane is certainly under pressure at the Bernabeu, with back-to-back losses to Alaves and Shakhtar in the league and Champions League respectively leading to more questions on the Frenchman's future.

Los Blancos are in serious danger of missing out on a spot in the knockout round of the European Cup, while they have picked up just one point from their last three matches in Spain's top flight.

Worryingly, the reigning champions have been beaten in three of their last six in La Liga, suffering defeats to Valencia and Alaves in two of their last three, which has seen them drop off the pace.

Madrid's position in the table is not catastrophic as they are only seven points off leaders Real Sociedad with a game in hand, but they trail second-placed Atletico Madrid by six points and have played one match more than Diego Simeone's side, who are regarded by many as this season's favourites.

The Whites will be eyeing their sixth league victory of the campaign on Saturday, and there is simply no downplaying the importance of the contest when it comes to Zidane's future.

Sevilla La Liga form: LLLWWW
Sevilla form (all competitions): WWWWWL

Real Madrid La Liga form: LWWLDL
Real Madrid form (all competitions): WLDWLL


Team News

Real Madrid's Sergio Ramos in action with Cadiz's Alvaro Negredo in La Liga on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla boss Lopetegui rang the changes for the clash with Chelsea, but there will be a more familiar look to the home side's XI on Saturday, with potentially only four players retaining their spots.

Jules Kounde, Lucas Ocampos, Joan Jordan, Munir El Haddadi, Fernando and Luuk de Jong will be among those to return, and there should be a switch back to a 4-3-3 formation.

Tomas Vaclik should overcome a knee issue to feature between the sticks, but the home side will be without Sergio Escudero, Marcos Acuna and Suso through injury.

Lopetegui is also unlikely to be able to call upon either Carlos Fernandez or Yassine Bounou, with the pair recently testing positive for coronavirus.

As for Madrid, Eden Hazard and Federico Valverde are definitely out of the contest, while neither Dani Carvajal nor Sergio Ramos is expected to be involved despite both recently stepping up their injury recoveries.

Alvaro Odriozola could make the squad, though, having overcome a calf problem, while Luka Jovic has tested negative for coronavirus and is now free to return for the Spanish champions.

Zidane is expected to make changes from the side that started against Shakhtar, with holding midfielder Casemiro likely to replace Martin Odegaard.

Karim Benzema will again lead the line, but Vinicius Junior is pushing to be involved on the left, meaning that Marco Asensio could switch to the right, with Rodrygo Goes dropping out of the XI.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Rekik; Jordan, Fernando, Rakitic; Ocampos, De Jong, El Haddadi

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Vazquez, Varane, Nacho, Mendy; Modric, Casemiro, Kroos; Vinicius, Benzema, Asensio


SM words green background

We say: Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid

This has all of the makings of a fascinating contest, with both teams looking to bounce back from disappointing results. A win would be huge for Madrid, but Sevilla's form, aside from the Chelsea result, has been strong, and we fancy the home side to hold the reigning champions to a low-scoring draw.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sevilla vs Real Madrid

Sevilla
30.7%
Draw
27.9%
Real Madrid
41.5%
646
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Real Madrid manager Zinedine Zidane pictured in November 2020
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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