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Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Route de Lorient
Lorient logo

Rennes
1 - 1
Lorient

Terrier (14')
Soppy (79'), Martin (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boisgard (83')
Chalobah (87')

Preview: Rennes vs. Lorient - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After Lorient's most recent result brought Ligue 1 to a standstill, the Breton club now travel to Rennes on Wednesday looking to register three wins on the spin.

The fifth-placed hosts, meanwhile, lost their last outing 1-0 at home to new leaders Lille, finally breaking a seven-match unbeaten streak.


Match preview

Lorient manager Christophe Pelissier pictured in December 2020© Reuters

A dramatic final twist in Lorient's action-packed 3-2 win against PSG last weekend saw Nigerian striker Terem Moffi stride clear of the Parisians' defence as Mauricio Pochettino's side pushed for a late winning goal, to settle the game in style - against all the pre-match odds.

Remarkably, that goal was their second injury-time winner in just a matter of days - after they defeated fellow strugglers Dijon by the same scoreline earlier last week - and served to elevate Christophe Pelissier's men above the Burgundy outfit. Having returned to action for the first time since a devastating COVID-19 outbreak, Lorient now seem to have a new lease of life.

Up to a still-precarious 18th place, but glowing from their limelight-grabbing success - achieved despite the concession of two penalties, both converted by Neymar - Les Merlus are now set on inching out of the drop zone by taking a first step towards improving a woeful away record.

Lorient have proved easy meat for opponents when on the road this season, having posted only two draws and just one win in 10 trips so far. Currently on a six-match winless streak away, they have failed to win outside of their Breton base since October, against Reims.

Certainly, Pelissier will hope that his side's recent burst of goals can continue on Wednesday, as their forward line had previously underwhelmed this season. Only Yoane Wissa, match-winning hero Moffi and Pierre-Yves Hamel have made contributions of note so far, netting six, five and four times respectively.

Rennes' Clement Grenier celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Despite dominating possession at Roazhon Park last Saturday, Rennes were unable to find an equaliser to Jonathan David's early goal for Ligue 1 leaders Lille, who subsequently deposed PSG at the top of the table.

It brought to an end a stabilising spell of form for Julien Stephan's side, as they had turned their fortunes around since an abysmal winless run in late autumn. Nonetheless, with a game in hand, they remain within sight of the Champions League qualification places, but will need all their main men fully firing in the upcoming weeks.

One such star, France international Eduardo Camavinga, claimed in recent days to be "100% focused on the club" despite a change of agent to Gareth Bale's media mouthpiece Jonathan Barnett. Though Camavinga has a contract which runs until June 2022, he has scored only once and provided just two assists in 23 appearances at club level during the 2020-21 campaign, leading to talk of being distracted by rumours of a move to Real Madrid.

The gifted midfielder can prove his stated dedication in midweek, by helping Rennes to improve a record of just five wins and four losses from 11 home contests in Ligue 1 this term.

His side emerged victorious when these two sides last met, at Stade du Moustoir in December. That 3-0 win for Les Rouge et Noir should serve as a template for bringing a rejuvenated Lorient XI back down to earth with a bang.

Rennes Ligue 1 form: WWDDWL

Lorient Ligue 1 form: LDLLWW


Team News

Rennes manager Julien Stephan pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Apart from the injured Flavien Tait and ill M'Baye Niang - who has been strongly linked with a return to Serie A - home manager Julien Stephan has a full hand to pick from.

Clement Grenier has thrived in support of striker Martin Terrier in recent times, with the pair likely to continue despite drawing a blank last time out.

Like Niang, on-loan Juventus defender Daniele Rugani could head back to Italy due to lack of playing time, as Gerzino Nyamsi and Nayef Aguerd are set to continue in the centre of Stephan's back four.

Most of Lorient's contingent affected by COVID-19 returned to action last week, but Paul Nardi and Vincent Le Goff are still recovering from the after-effects of the virus, so their involvement on Wednesday is uncertain.

As Christophe Pelissier must assess whether his returning players are ready for another 90 minutes so soon, he may rotate - with Trevoh Chalobah and Terem Moffi both in contention to make the starting lineup.

Quentin Boisgard is out with a groin strain for the visitors, while Stephane Diarra (knee) and Thomas Fontaine (achilles) remain unavailable too.

Rennes possible starting lineup:
Salin; Traore, Nyamsi, Aguerd, Maouassa; Truffert, Nzonzi, Camavinga, Doku; Grenier; Terrier

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Dreyer; Delaplace, Laporte, Gravillon, Morel; Lauriente, Le Fee, Chalobah, Wissa; Hamel, Moffi


SM words green background

We say: Rennes 2-1 Lorient

Rennes can prove their relative class to break the Lorient spell this week, as Stephan's men boast enough ability to avoid faltering at home against lowly opposition.

The visitors' extraordinary trend of late winners must come to an end, with a long, hard-fought slog against relegation still in prospect this spring.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Rennes vs Lorient

Rennes
81.7%
Draw
11.7%
Lorient
6.7%
60
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Eduardo Camavinga in action for Rennes on October 23, 2020
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3MonacoMonaco1382322121026
4Lille136522113823
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre136162121019
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest135171923-416
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
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16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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