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League One | Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The New York Stadium
Lincoln City

Rotherham
2 - 1
Lincoln

Wiles (11'), Ogbene (13')
Rathbone (45+3'), Wood (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hopper (81')
Hopper (49'), Walsh (82')

Preview: Rotherham United vs. Lincoln City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

League One leaders Rotherham United will continue their pursuit of an immediate return to the Championship when they welcome Lincoln City to the New York Stadium on Wednesday evening.

Just the one point separates Rotherham to second-placed Sunderland as the title race begins to hot up in League One.


Match preview

Rotherham United's Chiedozie Ogbene celebrates after scoring their fifth goal on December 7, 2021© Reuters

Defeat to Accrington Stanley on Boxing Day came as a surprise to many, with the club's record unbeaten streak also falling victim to the loss.

The Millers had enjoyed 21 matches across all competitions without a defeat, last losing prior to Sunday all the way back in August.

Denting Rotherham's title hopes ever so slightly, the South Yorkshire club still remain as favourites to go up automatically, not least given their previous experience of getting the job done in this division before.

Promoted from League One twice in the past four seasons, Paul Warne will be hoping his side show the grit and determination from past campaigns to get them over the line once more.

A victory over Lincoln will ensure the Millers start 2022 as league leaders, but Rotherham have struggled in recent years against the Imps.

Playing out a 1-1 draw when the two met earlier this season, the hosts have only managed one victory over Lincoln in their previous four encounters.

However, given the visitors' current league form, it is unlikely that Michael Appleton's men will be able to spring a surprise on Wednesday evening.

Eight games across all competitions without a win has left last season's play-off runners up scratching around at the bottom of the table, with relegation a distinct possibility.

Three points against the league leaders would go some way to alleviating their current troubles, but Lincoln look set to begin the new year staring down the barrel of relegation.

Rotherham United League One form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Rotherham United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

Lincoln City League One form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Lincoln City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Lincoln City manager Michael Appleton looks dejected as he applauds fans after the match in May 202© Reuters

Unlike many other sides in the division, Rotherham currently boast a clean bill of health and will likely call upon Freddie Ladapo to lead the line.

Creativity just behind will come in the shape of Ben Wiles, whilst a back three of Michael Ihiekwe, Richard Wood and Wes Harding will look to protect goalkeeper Viktor Johansson.

For the visitors, a slight injury crisis within their camp meant they could only field five substitutes for the Boxing Day defeat to MK Dons, yet Lincoln were able to welcome back Anthony Scully from injury.

While returns look imminent, the Rotherham fixture is likely to come too soon for Adam Jackson, Joe Walsh, Liam Bridcutt and Tom Hopper, who all miss out through injury.

Rotherham United possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Harding, Wood, Ihiekwe; Barlaser, Ogbene, Ferguson, Wilnes, Rathbone; Smith, Ladapo

Lincoln City possible starting lineup:
Griffiths; Eyoma, Poole, Montsma, Bramall; Bishop, Bridcutt, McGrandles; Adelakun, Maguire, Fiorini


SM words green background

We say: Rotherham United 2-0 Lincoln City

Defeats have been a rarity for Rotherham this season, meaning the Boxing Day loss would have no doubt hurt the Millers dressing room.

Expect them to bounce back, and strongly, against a struggling Lincoln outfit.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Rotherham vs Lincoln

Rotherham United
79.0%
Draw
9.9%
Lincoln City
11.1%
81
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Rotherham United's Chiedozie Ogbene celebrates after scoring their fifth goal on December 7, 2021
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