Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Makhachkala win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Makhachkala win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%) , while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.