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Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 5, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
Braga

Farense
1 - 2
Braga

P (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elmusrati (29'), Sporar (90+1')
Borja (49')

Preview: SC Farense vs. Braga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

SC Farense welcome Braga to the Estadio de Sao Luis on Monday, in a crucial game at both ends of the Primeira Liga table.

A win before the international break lifted the hosts out of the bottom three, while Braga dropped out of the top three after a loss to Benfica.


Match preview

Braga head coach Carlos Carvalhal pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Farense picked up a crucial victory over fellow strugglers Boavista last time out, as Lica netted the only goal of the game after 25 minutes.

That put an end to a five-game winless run for Os Leoes de Faro, which saw them drop to the foot of the table.

As a result of that win, Jorge Costa's side jumped off the foot of the division, moving up to 15th spot, ahead of Boavista, Maritimo and Nacional who all sit on 21 points.

Costa will now feel that his side need to build on that recent victory, as the gap between themselves and the bottom three stands at just one point, meaning they could be quickly dragged back into the drop zone if results do not go their way.

Getting a result will be a tough task on Monday though, as they welcome a strong Braga side who will be looking to break back into the top three with a win.

Braga's Paulinho celebrates scoring against Leicester City in the Europa League on November 26, 2020© Reuters

Carlos Carvalhal's side lost a crucial clash against Benfica before the international break, as Rafa Silva opened the scoring on the stroke of half time before Haris Seferovic doubled the lead to seal a 2-0 victory.

That saw As Aguias leapfrog Braga in the table, meaning Carvalhal's men now sit in fourth spot with 10 league games left to play this season.

Before that disappointing defeat, Os Arcebispos dropped points in a 2-2 draw with strugglers Famalicao, as Heriberto Tavares netted a late equaliser for Fama after Ricardo Horta and Ali Musrati had given Braga the lead.

Carvalhal will now be tasked with reversing the fortunes of the Archbishops, after two costly results in their bid to finish in the top three, and he will be desperate to put three points on the board on Monday to pile the pressure on Benfica.

SC Farense Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Braga form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Braga's Francisco Moura celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in November 2020© Reuters

Farense should come into this game with a fairly full squad to pick from, with winger Madi Queta the only expected absentee through injury.

For the second consecutive season, Farense's attack has been spearheaded by Ryan Gauld, who has registered seven goals and four assists in 23 league appearances this campaign after firing them to second place in the Segunda Liga last season.

He will be supported by the wide threat of Lica, who netted his second goal of the season in the 1-0 win over Boavista.

In that game, veteran goalkeeper Beto was favoured over Hugo Marques, and he should keep his spot after securing a clean sheet.

Braga will come into this game without midfielder Fransergio, who will serve a suspension after he was shown a red card in the defeat to Benfica.

Meanwhile, Carvalhal still has a long injury list to deal with, as winger Iuri Medeiros and centre-midfielder Andre Castro both remain out of action.

Their back line has also taken a hit, as centre-backs David Carmo, Rolando and Raul Silva all remain out.

SC Farense possible starting lineup:
Beto; Tavares, Mancha, Cesar, Nunes; Oudrhiri, Lucca; Lica, Gauld, Mansilla; Henrique

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Esgaio, Tormena, Rodrigues, Borja; Piazon, Elmusrati, Gaitan, Galeno; Ruiz, Horta


SM words green background

We say: SC Farense 1-2 Braga

Despite two concerning results, and a squad hit by injuries, we would still expect Carvalhal's men to get over the line on Monday thanks to their superior quality.

While we do not see them easing past a Farense side who will be battling hard for a result, Os Arcebispos should still come away with three crucial points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Farense vs Braga

SC Farense
2.8%
Draw
19.4%
Braga
77.8%
36
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Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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