Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic Reserves win with a probability of 55.52%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.8%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 2-1 (5.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.