Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.